A Escola das Odds

Ottawa Senators v Florida Panthers

Início: 2026-04-09 23:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Ottawa Senators (Local)

Previsão 76.38%1.31odd justa
EV -0.705%
Vantagem -0.542%
Kelly -2.35%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.74%76.40%76.52%77.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.151.251.261.3086.96%79.70%79.37%76.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Florida Panthers (Visitante)

Previsão 23.62%4.23odd justa
EV +1.09%
Vantagem +0.254%
Kelly +0.332%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.32%23.60%23.48%26.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.603.984.004.2827.78%25.14%25.00%23.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Caesars1.23I 81.30%NM 77.68%EV -6.05%E -4.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.32%EV +1.09%E +0.254%K +0.332%G +0.004%4.7%2026-04-09 22:19
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.800%E -0.191%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-09 22:15
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.800%E -0.191%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-09 22:15
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.800%E -0.191%K -0.250%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 23:00
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 76.52%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.48%EV -2.22%E -0.536%K -0.706%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 22:55
BetAnything1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 22:19
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 22:15
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 23:05
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 22:15
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 22:14
GTbets1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 22:20
SportsBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.29%E -4.26%K -22.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 22:14
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-09 22:13
Bally Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 22:25
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 22:25
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 22:15
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 22:25
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 23:04
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 22:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 22:15
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 22:55
MyBookie.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 22:25
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 22:45
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 22:25
Everygame1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 22:35
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 22:55
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 23:05
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 23:00
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.23%E -1.74%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -9.07%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 22:24
NordicBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.20%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.80%EV -9.78%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 23:05
Betsson1.26I 79.37%NM 75.20%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.80%EV -9.78%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 23:04
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 22:19
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 22:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.76%E -2.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 22:15
NetBet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 76.29%EV -12.16%E -10.58%K -81.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.71%EV -12.61%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-09 22:45
ReBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -0.705%E -0.542%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -13.79%E -3.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 22:04
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.52%E -3.62%K -18.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.97%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 23:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.29I 77.52%NM 77.41%4.42I 22.62%NM 22.59%0.1%2026-04-09 22:55
Polymarket1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-04-09 22:54
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.7%2026-04-09 23:05
ProphetX1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%2.5%2026-04-09 23:05
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-04-09 23:00
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20%3.3%2026-04-09 23:05
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%7.4%2026-04-09 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-04-09 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-04-09 23:05

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (22)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.61%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56%3.5%2026-04-09 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.61%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56%3.5%2026-04-09 22:54
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 66.61%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56%3.5%2026-04-09 22:55
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.61%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56%3.5%2026-04-09 22:55
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.83%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.93%4.3%2026-04-09 22:50
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.02%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.77%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.21%4.6%2026-04-09 22:40
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.55%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.56%5.34I 18.73%NM 17.89%4.7%2026-04-09 22:55
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.68%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01%5.0%2026-04-09 23:04
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.53%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62%5.1%2026-04-09 23:00
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.53%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62%5.1%2026-04-09 22:55
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.53%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62%5.1%2026-04-09 22:55
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.53%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62%5.1%2026-04-09 22:55
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.46%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%6.7%2026-04-09 20:59
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 66.26%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%7.0%2026-04-09 22:55
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 66.42%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%7.5%2026-04-09 22:55
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.14%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%8.0%2026-04-09 22:49
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%8.0%2026-04-09 23:05
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.89%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%8.5%2026-04-09 23:02
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.89%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%8.5%2026-04-09 23:05
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.84%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%8.6%2026-04-09 23:05
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.81%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%9.3%2026-04-09 21:00
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.58%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.93%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.49%12.1%2026-04-09 22:39