Language:English
New York Rangers v Washington Capitals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Rangers (Local)
Prediction 49.64%2.01fair odd
EV +0.282%
Edge +0.140%
Kelly +0.277%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.26%49.36%49.87%50.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.931.922.0255.56%51.86%52.22%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Capitals (Visit)
Prediction 50.36%1.99fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.665%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.74%50.64%50.13%52.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.881.891.9658.14%53.20%52.91%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Rangers (Local): 49.64%; Washington Capitals (Visit): 50.36%. For New York Rangers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.282%.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +0.282%E +0.140%K +0.277%G +0.001% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -8.35%E -4.59%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +0.282%E +0.140%K +0.277%G +0.001% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -8.35%E -4.59%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV +0.282%E +0.140%K +0.277%G +0.001% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -8.86%E -4.89%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.710%E -0.355%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.85%E -4.29%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -2.70%E -1.38%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-05 22:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 15:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 22:53 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 21:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 15:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 22:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.30%E -0.665%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-05 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 22:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.32%E -1.73%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-05 22:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 15:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 15:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 22:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 22:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 19:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 22:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 20:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 20:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 22:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 22:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-05 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 22:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 15:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 22:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.16%E -3.83%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.86%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.14%EV -13.39%E -7.78%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 0.3% | 2026-04-05 22:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 1.3% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 1.3% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 1.5% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89% | 1.8% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 2.0% | 2026-04-05 22:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.01% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.01% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.01% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.01% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94% | 3.8% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.39% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.86% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.74% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.74% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.53% | 4.9% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 20:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.31% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.24% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 22:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.29% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.13% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.44% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27% | 9.5% | 2026-04-05 22:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.29% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.62% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.09% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 22:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.23% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.29% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.47% | 12.6% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.81% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.81% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39% | 14.5% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |