A Escola das Odds

New York Rangers v Washington Capitals

Início: 2026-04-05 23:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

New York Rangers (Local)

Previsão 49.64%2.01odd justa
EV +0.282%
Vantagem +0.140%
Kelly +0.277%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.26%49.36%49.87%50.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.801.931.922.0255.56%51.86%52.22%49.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Washington Capitals (Visitante)

Previsão 50.36%1.99odd justa
EV -1.30%
Vantagem -0.665%
Kelly -1.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.74%50.64%50.13%52.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.721.881.891.9658.14%53.20%52.91%51.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +0.282%E +0.140%K +0.277%G +0.001%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -8.35%E -4.59%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 21:00
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +0.282%E +0.140%K +0.277%G +0.001%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -8.35%E -4.59%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 21:00
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV +0.282%E +0.140%K +0.277%G +0.001%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -8.86%E -4.89%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 21:00
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.710%E -0.355%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.85%E -4.29%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 23:00
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -2.70%E -1.38%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 22:49
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 01:44
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 15:45
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 22:53
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 21:04
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 15:44
MyBookie.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 22:45
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.30%E -0.665%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-05 22:50
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 22:39
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 22:35
ReBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.32%E -1.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 22:59
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 15:44
Neds1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 15:44
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 16:30
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 21:00
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 22:49
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 22:49
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 19:20
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 22:54
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 20:00
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 20:45
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 22:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 22:49
NordicBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 23:00
Betsson1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 23:00
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 22:39
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 01:44
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 22:50
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 15:44
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 22:50
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.16%E -3.83%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 23:00
NetBet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.86%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.14%EV -13.39%E -7.78%K -18.60%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-05 23:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-04-05 22:59
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-05 23:00
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-04-05 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-04-05 23:00
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-04-05 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-04-05 23:00
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%1.8%2026-04-05 23:00
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-04-05 22:50
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%2.8%2026-04-05 23:00

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (22)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.01%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%2.8%2026-04-05 21:00
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.01%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%2.8%2026-04-05 21:00
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.01%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%2.8%2026-04-05 21:00
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 36.01%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%2.8%2026-04-05 21:00
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%3.8%2026-04-05 23:00
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.39%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-04-05 22:55
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.74%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.74%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.53%4.9%2026-04-05 22:55
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%5.0%2026-04-05 21:00
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%5.0%2026-04-05 21:00
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%5.0%2026-04-05 20:59
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%5.0%2026-04-05 21:00
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%5.1%2026-04-05 22:25
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.24%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%6.1%2026-04-05 21:00
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-04-05 22:44
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.29%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%8.1%2026-04-05 21:00
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%8.3%2026-04-05 22:59
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%8.3%2026-04-05 23:00
Codere (IT)2.39I 41.84%NM 38.44%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%8.9%2026-04-05 23:00
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%9.5%2026-04-05 22:59
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 38.29%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.62%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.09%10.2%2026-04-05 22:59
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.23%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.29%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.47%12.6%2026-04-05 21:00
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.81%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.81%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%14.5%2026-04-05 23:00