La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.96
22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +0.282%E +0.140%K +0.277%G +0.001% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -8.35%E -4.59%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +0.282%E +0.140%K +0.277%G +0.001% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -8.35%E -4.59%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV +0.282%E +0.140%K +0.277%G +0.001% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -8.86%E -4.89%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.710%E -0.355%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.85%E -4.29%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -2.70%E -1.38%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-05 22:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 15:45 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 22:53 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 21:04 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 15:44 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 22:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.30%E -0.665%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-05 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 22:35 |
| ReBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.32%E -1.73%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-05 22:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 15:44 |
| Neds | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 15:44 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| GTbets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 22:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 22:49 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 19:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 22:54 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 20:00 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 20:45 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 22:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 22:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Betsson | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-05 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 22:50 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 15:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 22:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.16%E -3.83%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.86%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.14%EV -13.39%E -7.78%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 0.3% | 2026-04-05 22:59 |
| Polymarket | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 1.3% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| ProphetX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 1.3% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 1.5% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Novig | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89% | 1.8% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 2.0% | 2026-04-05 22:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.01% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.01% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.01% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.01% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94% | 3.8% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.39% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.86% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.74% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.74% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.53% | 4.9% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |
| Casumo | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 20:59 |
| Unibet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.31% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 22:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.24% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 22:44 |
| LeoVegas | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.29% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.13% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 22:59 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.44% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27% | 9.5% | 2026-04-05 22:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.29% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.62% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.09% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 22:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.23% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.29% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.47% | 12.6% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.81% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.81% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39% | 14.5% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |