La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
New York Rangers v Washington Capitals
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
New York Rangers (Local)
Predicción 49.64%2.01momio equitativo
EV +0.282%
Ventaja +0.140%
Kelly +0.277%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.26%49.36%49.87%50.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.931.922.0255.56%51.86%52.22%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Washington Capitals (Visitante)
Predicción 50.36%1.99momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.665%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.74%50.64%50.13%52.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.881.891.9658.14%53.20%52.91%51.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +0.282%E +0.140%K +0.277%G +0.001% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -8.35%E -4.59%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +0.282%E +0.140%K +0.277%G +0.001% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -8.35%E -4.59%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV +0.282%E +0.140%K +0.277%G +0.001% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -8.86%E -4.89%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.710%E -0.355%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.85%E -4.29%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -2.70%E -1.38%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-05 22:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 15:45 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 22:53 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 21:04 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 15:44 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 22:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.30%E -0.665%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-05 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 22:35 |
| ReBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.32%E -1.73%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-05 22:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 15:44 |
| Neds | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 15:44 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| GTbets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 22:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 22:49 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 19:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 22:54 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 20:00 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 20:45 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 22:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 22:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Betsson | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-05 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 22:50 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 15:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 22:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.16%E -3.83%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.86%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.14%EV -13.39%E -7.78%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 0.3% | 2026-04-05 22:59 |
| Polymarket | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 1.3% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| ProphetX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 1.3% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 1.5% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Novig | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89% | 1.8% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 2.0% | 2026-04-05 22:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.01% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.01% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.01% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.01% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94% | 3.8% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.39% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.86% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.74% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.74% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.53% | 4.9% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |
| Casumo | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 20:59 |
| Unibet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.31% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 22:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.24% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 22:44 |
| LeoVegas | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.29% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.13% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 22:59 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.44% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27% | 9.5% | 2026-04-05 22:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.29% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.62% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.09% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 22:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.23% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.29% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.47% | 12.6% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.81% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.81% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39% | 14.5% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |