L’École des cotes

New York Rangers v Washington Capitals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 23:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Rangers (Local)

Prévision 49.64%2.01cote équitable
EV +0.282%
Avantage +0.140%
Kelly +0.277%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.26%49.36%49.87%50.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.931.922.0255.56%51.86%52.22%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Washington Capitals (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.36%1.99cote équitable
EV -1.30%
Avantage -0.665%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.74%50.64%50.13%52.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.881.891.9658.14%53.20%52.91%51.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +0.282%E +0.140%K +0.277%G +0.001%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -8.35%E -4.59%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 21:00
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +0.282%E +0.140%K +0.277%G +0.001%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -8.35%E -4.59%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 21:00
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV +0.282%E +0.140%K +0.277%G +0.001%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -8.86%E -4.89%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 21:00
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.710%E -0.355%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.85%E -4.29%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 23:00
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -2.70%E -1.38%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 22:49
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 01:44
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 15:45
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 22:53
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 21:04
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 15:44
MyBookie.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 22:45
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.30%E -0.665%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-05 22:50
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 22:39
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 22:35
ReBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.32%E -1.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 22:59
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 15:44
Neds1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 15:44
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 16:30
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 21:00
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 22:49
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 22:49
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 19:20
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 22:54
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 20:00
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 20:45
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 22:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 22:49
NordicBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 23:00
Betsson1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 23:00
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 22:39
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 01:44
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 22:50
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 15:44
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 22:50
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.16%E -3.83%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 23:00
NetBet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.86%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.14%EV -13.39%E -7.78%K -18.60%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-05 23:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-04-05 22:59
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-05 23:00
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-04-05 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-04-05 23:00
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-04-05 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-04-05 23:00
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%1.8%2026-04-05 23:00
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-04-05 22:50
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%2.8%2026-04-05 23:00

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.01%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%2.8%2026-04-05 21:00
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.01%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%2.8%2026-04-05 21:00
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.01%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%2.8%2026-04-05 21:00
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 36.01%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%2.8%2026-04-05 21:00
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%3.8%2026-04-05 23:00
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.39%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-04-05 22:55
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.74%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.74%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.53%4.9%2026-04-05 22:55
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%5.0%2026-04-05 21:00
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%5.0%2026-04-05 21:00
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%5.0%2026-04-05 20:59
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%5.0%2026-04-05 21:00
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%5.1%2026-04-05 22:25
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.24%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%6.1%2026-04-05 21:00
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-04-05 22:44
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.29%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%8.1%2026-04-05 21:00
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%8.3%2026-04-05 22:59
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%8.3%2026-04-05 23:00
Codere (IT)2.39I 41.84%NM 38.44%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%8.9%2026-04-05 23:00
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%9.5%2026-04-05 22:59
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 38.29%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.62%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.09%10.2%2026-04-05 22:59
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.23%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.29%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.47%12.6%2026-04-05 21:00
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.81%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.81%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%14.5%2026-04-05 23:00