Language:English
Minnesota Wild v Philadelphia Flyers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota Wild (Local)
Prediction 66.55%1.50fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -4.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.48%66.63%66.47%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.431.441.4775.76%69.85%69.44%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Flyers (Visit)
Prediction 33.45%2.99fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.446%
Kelly -0.675%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%33.37%33.53%34.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.862.872.9538.17%35.00%34.84%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Wild (Local): 66.55%; Philadelphia Flyers (Visit): 33.45%. For Philadelphia Flyers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.95, with an expected value of -1.32%; they did not produce positive expected value.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.17%E -1.48%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -5.33%E -1.88%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-13 00:07 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%EV -1.65%E -0.561%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-13 00:06 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.44%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.56%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.44%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.56%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 00:07 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 00:06 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.01%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 00:08 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -2.65%E -0.912%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 23:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -3.66%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.66%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.66%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.66%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.66%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 00:07 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.66%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.66%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 00:08 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.66%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 00:06 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.01%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.01%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.32%E -0.446%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-13 00:08 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.32%E -0.446%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.32%E -0.446%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.66%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.66%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.66%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 00:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -4.33%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.17%E -4.37%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.17%E -4.37%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.83%E -4.88%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.83%E -4.88%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.83%E -4.88%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 00:02 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.83%E -4.88%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.50%EV -12.16%E -9.21%K -37.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -12.35%E -4.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-12 23:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 67.11% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 32.89% | 0.0% | 2026-03-12 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33% | 1.4% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03% | 1.6% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37% | 2.0% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.0% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27% | 3.5% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.48% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81% | 3.0% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81% | 3.0% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81% | 3.0% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81% | 3.0% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.25% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99% | 3.6% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.89% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.75% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.07% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 23:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 00:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.79% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.00% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77% | 7.6% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.73% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 00:01 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.60% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58% | 9.0% | 2026-03-13 00:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.17% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20% | 9.9% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50% | 10.7% | 2026-03-13 00:06 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.27% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.71% | 11.0% | 2026-03-13 00:02 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 53.58% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.15% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.27% | 16.6% | 2026-03-13 00:09 |