A Escola das Odds

Minnesota Wild v Philadelphia Flyers

Início: 2026-03-13 00:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Minnesota Wild (Local)

Previsão 66.55%1.50odd justa
EV -2.17%
Vantagem -1.48%
Kelly -4.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.47

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.48%66.63%66.47%67.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.321.431.441.4775.76%69.85%69.44%68.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Philadelphia Flyers (Visitante)

Previsão 33.45%2.99odd justa
EV -1.32%
Vantagem -0.446%
Kelly -0.675%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.56%33.37%33.53%34.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.622.862.872.9538.17%35.00%34.84%33.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.17%E -1.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -5.33%E -1.88%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-13 00:07
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%EV -1.65%E -0.561%K -0.851%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-13 00:06
LowVig.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 66.44%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.56%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-13 00:09
BetOnline.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 66.44%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.56%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-13 00:09
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 00:07
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 00:06
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.01%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 00:08
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -2.65%E -0.912%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 23:59
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 00:09
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -3.66%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 00:09
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 00:10
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.66%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 00:09
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.66%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 00:09
Caesars1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.66%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 00:09
GTbets1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.66%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 00:07
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.66%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 00:09
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.66%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 00:08
BetAnything1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.66%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 00:06
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.01%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.01%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 00:09
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.32%E -0.446%K -0.675%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 00:08
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.32%E -0.446%K -0.675%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 00:10
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.32%E -0.446%K -0.675%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 00:09
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 00:09
Paddy Power1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.66%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 00:10
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.66%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.66%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 00:09
MyBookie.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 00:01
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -4.33%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 00:10
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.17%E -4.37%K -15.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 00:09
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.17%E -4.37%K -15.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 00:09
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.83%E -4.88%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 00:10
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.83%E -4.88%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 00:09
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.83%E -4.88%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 00:02
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.83%E -4.88%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 00:09
NetBet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.50%EV -12.16%E -9.21%K -37.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -12.35%E -4.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-12 23:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.49I 67.11%NM 67.11%3.04I 32.89%NM 32.89%0.0%2026-03-12 23:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-03-13 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33%1.4%2026-03-13 00:10
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03%1.6%2026-03-13 00:10
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%2.0%2026-03-13 00:10
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-03-13 00:10
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%3.5%2026-03-13 00:10
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.48%7.3%2026-03-13 00:10

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (22)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%3.0%2026-03-13 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%3.0%2026-03-13 00:10
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%3.0%2026-03-13 00:10
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 57.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%3.0%2026-03-13 00:09
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.25%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%3.6%2026-03-13 00:10
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.89%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%4.7%2026-03-12 23:58
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.75%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.07%4.8%2026-03-12 23:59
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%4.9%2026-03-13 00:05
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%5.3%2026-03-13 00:10
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%5.3%2026-03-13 00:09
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%5.3%2026-03-13 00:09
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%5.3%2026-03-13 00:10
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%6.3%2026-03-13 00:10
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%6.7%2026-03-13 00:10
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 54.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%6.7%2026-03-13 00:10
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 57.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%7.6%2026-03-13 00:09
Codere (IT)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%8.8%2026-03-13 00:01
Parions Sport (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%9.0%2026-03-13 00:00
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.17%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%9.9%2026-03-13 00:10
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%10.7%2026-03-13 00:06
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.27%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.71%11.0%2026-03-13 00:02
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 53.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.15%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.27%16.6%2026-03-13 00:09