默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Minnesota Wild v Philadelphia Flyers

开赛时间： 2026-03-13 00:15 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

37 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

67%

33%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Minnesota Wild (主队)

预测 66.55%1.50公平赔率

EV -2.17%

优势 -1.48%

Kelly -4.63%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.47

博彩公司预测分布

65.48%66.63%66.47%67.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.321.431.441.4775.76%69.85%69.44%68.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

Philadelphia Flyers (客队)

预测 33.45%2.99公平赔率

EV -1.32%

优势 -0.446%

Kelly -0.675%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.95

博彩公司预测分布

32.56%33.37%33.53%34.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.622.862.872.9538.17%35.00%34.84%33.90%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Minnesota Wild (主队)：66.55%；Philadelphia Flyers (客队)：33.45%。对于“Philadelphia Flyers (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.99。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.95，期望值为-1.32%，未产生正期望值。

有 22 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
BetUS🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.17%E -1.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%	2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -5.33%E -1.88%K -2.91%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-03-13 00:07
Pinnacle🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.17%G +0.000%	2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%EV -1.65%E -0.561%K -0.851%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-03-13 00:06
LowVig.ag🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 66.44%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.17%G +0.000%	2.89I 34.60%NM 33.56%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.76%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-03-13 00:09
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 66.44%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.17%G +0.000%	2.89I 34.60%NM 33.56%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.76%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-03-13 00:09
PlayUp🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-13 00:07
Everygame🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-13 00:06
Betr (AU)🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.01%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-13 00:08
ReBet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%	2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -2.65%E -0.912%K -1.39%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-03-12 23:59
theScore Bet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-03-13 00:09
Bet Right🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -3.66%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-03-13 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%	2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-13 00:09
Coral🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%	2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-13 00:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.66%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-13 00:09
DraftKings🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.66%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-13 00:09
Caesars🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.66%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-13 00:09
GTbets🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.66%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-13 00:07
Fanatics🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.66%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-13 00:09
BetMGM🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.66%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-13 00:08
BetAnything🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.66%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-13 00:06
Neds🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.01%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-13 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.01%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-13 00:09
Bovada🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.32%E -0.446%K -0.675%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-03-13 00:08
betPARX🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.32%E -0.446%K -0.675%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-03-13 00:10
Bally Bet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.32%E -0.446%K -0.675%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-03-13 00:09
Fliff🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-03-13 00:09
Paddy Power🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.66%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-13 00:10
FanDuel🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.66%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-13 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.66%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-13 00:09
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%	2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-13 00:01
SportsBet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%	2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -4.33%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-03-13 00:10
NordicBet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.17%E -4.37%K -15.04%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-13 00:09
Betsson🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.17%E -4.37%K -15.04%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-13 00:09
TAB🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.83%E -4.88%K -17.08%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-13 00:10
William Hill🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.83%E -4.88%K -17.08%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-13 00:09
Bet Victor🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.83%E -4.88%K -17.08%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-13 00:02
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.83%E -4.88%K -17.08%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-13 00:09
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 66.50%EV -12.16%E -9.21%K -37.99%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -12.35%E -4.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%	13.9%	2026-03-12 23:59

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
BetOpenly◎	1.49I 67.11%NM 67.11%	3.04I 32.89%NM 32.89%	0.0%	2026-03-12 23:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%	3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%	0.9%	2026-03-13 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67%	2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33%	1.4%	2026-03-13 00:10
Smarkets◎	1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97%	2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03%	1.6%	2026-03-13 00:10
Kalshi◎	1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%	3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%	2.0%	2026-03-13 00:10
Polymarket◎	1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%	2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%	2.0%	2026-03-13 00:10
Novig◎	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73%	2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%	3.5%	2026-03-13 00:10
Matchbook◎	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%	2.96I 33.78%NM 31.48%	7.3%	2026-03-13 00:10

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (22)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 57.09%	4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%	3.0%	2026-03-13 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 57.09%	4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%	3.0%	2026-03-13 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 57.09%	4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%	3.0%	2026-03-13 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 57.09%	4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%	3.0%	2026-03-13 00:09
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 54.25%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%	3.6%	2026-03-13 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.89%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%	4.7%	2026-03-12 23:58
1xBet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%	4.02I 24.88%NM 23.75%	4.53I 22.08%NM 21.07%	4.8%	2026-03-12 23:59
Coolbet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%	3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%	4.9%	2026-03-13 00:05
Unibet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%	4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%	5.3%	2026-03-13 00:10
Casumo🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%	4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%	5.3%	2026-03-13 00:09
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%	4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%	5.3%	2026-03-13 00:09
Grosvenor🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%	4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%	5.3%	2026-03-13 00:10
TABtouch🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%	4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%	6.3%	2026-03-13 00:10
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%	6.7%	2026-03-13 00:10
Betway🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.79%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%	6.7%	2026-03-13 00:10
LeoVegas🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.00%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%	4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%	7.6%	2026-03-13 00:09
Codere (IT)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 54.73%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%	8.8%	2026-03-13 00:01
Parions Sport (FR)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 54.60%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%	9.0%	2026-03-13 00:00
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 54.17%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%	9.9%	2026-03-13 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%	3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%	10.7%	2026-03-13 00:06
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 54.27%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%	4.15I 24.10%NM 21.71%	11.0%	2026-03-13 00:02
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 53.58%	3.55I 28.17%NM 24.15%	3.85I 25.97%NM 22.27%	16.6%	2026-03-13 00:09