L’École des cotes

Minnesota Wild v Philadelphia Flyers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-13 00:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Minnesota Wild (Local)

Prévision 66.55%1.50cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -1.48%
Kelly -4.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.48%66.63%66.47%67.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.431.441.4775.76%69.85%69.44%68.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Philadelphia Flyers (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.45%2.99cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.446%
Kelly -0.675%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.56%33.37%33.53%34.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.622.862.872.9538.17%35.00%34.84%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.17%E -1.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -5.33%E -1.88%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-13 00:07
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%EV -1.65%E -0.561%K -0.851%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-13 00:06
LowVig.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 66.44%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.56%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-13 00:09
BetOnline.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 66.44%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.56%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-13 00:09
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 00:07
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 00:06
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.01%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 00:08
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -2.65%E -0.912%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 23:59
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 00:09
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -3.66%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 00:09
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 00:10
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.66%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 00:09
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.66%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 00:09
Caesars1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.66%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 00:09
GTbets1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.66%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 00:07
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.66%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 00:09
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.66%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 00:08
BetAnything1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.66%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 00:06
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.01%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.01%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 00:09
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.32%E -0.446%K -0.675%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 00:08
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.32%E -0.446%K -0.675%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 00:10
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.32%E -0.446%K -0.675%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 00:09
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 00:09
Paddy Power1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.66%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 00:10
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.66%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.66%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 00:09
MyBookie.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 00:01
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -4.33%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 00:10
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.17%E -4.37%K -15.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 00:09
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.17%E -4.37%K -15.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 00:09
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.83%E -4.88%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 00:10
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.83%E -4.88%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.99%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 00:09
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.83%E -4.88%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 00:02
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.83%E -4.88%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 00:09
NetBet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.50%EV -12.16%E -9.21%K -37.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -12.35%E -4.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-12 23:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.49I 67.11%NM 67.11%3.04I 32.89%NM 32.89%0.0%2026-03-12 23:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-03-13 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33%1.4%2026-03-13 00:10
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03%1.6%2026-03-13 00:10
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%2.0%2026-03-13 00:10
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-03-13 00:10
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%3.5%2026-03-13 00:10
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.48%7.3%2026-03-13 00:10

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%3.0%2026-03-13 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%3.0%2026-03-13 00:10
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%3.0%2026-03-13 00:10
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 57.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%3.0%2026-03-13 00:09
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.25%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%3.6%2026-03-13 00:10
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.89%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%4.7%2026-03-12 23:58
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.75%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.07%4.8%2026-03-12 23:59
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%4.9%2026-03-13 00:05
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%5.3%2026-03-13 00:10
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%5.3%2026-03-13 00:09
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%5.3%2026-03-13 00:09
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%5.3%2026-03-13 00:10
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%6.3%2026-03-13 00:10
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%6.7%2026-03-13 00:10
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 54.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%6.7%2026-03-13 00:10
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 57.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%7.6%2026-03-13 00:09
Codere (IT)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%8.8%2026-03-13 00:01
Parions Sport (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%9.0%2026-03-13 00:00
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.17%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%9.9%2026-03-13 00:10
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%10.7%2026-03-13 00:06
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.27%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.71%11.0%2026-03-13 00:02
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 53.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.15%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.27%16.6%2026-03-13 00:09