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Carolina Hurricanes v Philadelphia Flyers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Carolina Hurricanes (Local)
Prediction 68.46%1.46fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.983%
Kelly -3.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.27%68.41%68.38%70.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.391.401.4477.52%71.77%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Flyers (Visit)
Prediction 31.54%3.17fair odd
EV +4.71%
Edge +1.42%
Kelly +2.03%
Growth +0.096%
assuming max odds 3.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.21%31.59%31.62%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.033.013.3236.36%33.05%33.17%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carolina Hurricanes (Local): 68.46%; Philadelphia Flyers (Visit): 31.54%. For Philadelphia Flyers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.71%.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.79%EV -6.21%E -4.53%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21%EV +4.71%E +1.42%K +2.03%G +0.096% | 3.1% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV +1.87%E +0.579%K +0.839%G +0.016% | 3.4% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -4.84%E -3.48%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV +0.925%E +0.289%K +0.420%G +0.004% | 3.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -6.21%E -4.53%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV +0.925%E +0.289%K +0.420%G +0.004% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.06%EV -2.79%E -1.96%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.94%EV -0.021%E -0.007%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.652%E -0.207%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.652%E -0.207%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.652%E -0.207%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%EV -3.47%E -2.46%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%EV -1.28%E -0.410%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-03 00:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.23%E -0.719%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.23%E -0.719%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.23%E -0.719%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 00:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.23%E -0.719%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 00:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.23%E -0.719%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.81%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.81%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 00:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.84%E -3.48%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.81%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.84%E -3.48%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -4.44%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -6.64%E -2.24%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 00:03 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 00:06 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -1.42%E -0.983%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -8.22%E -2.83%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-02 23:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.10%E -1.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.54%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.54%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.54%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.54%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.54%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.69%E -4.18%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.23%EV -11.69%E -9.06%K -40.29%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.77%EV -12.64%E -4.56%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-03 00:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.27%E -4.82%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 00:08 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-05-02 23:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.25% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.75% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.46% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.54% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 00:08 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.64% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.36% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.06% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.30% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64% | 3.1% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.66% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06% | 3.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.66% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06% | 3.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.66% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06% | 3.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.25% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.50% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.25% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 00:08 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.25% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 23:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.53% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46% | 4.7% | 2026-05-02 23:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.69% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.69% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.95% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.95% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.47% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.84% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.65% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 23:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.15% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.70% | 12.4% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |