L’École des cotesFrançais
Carolina Hurricanes v Philadelphia Flyers
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Carolina Hurricanes (Local)
Prévision 68.46%1.46cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.983%
Kelly -3.22%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.44
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.27%68.41%68.38%70.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.391.401.4477.52%71.77%71.43%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Philadelphia Flyers (Visiteur)
Prévision 31.54%3.17cote équitable
EV +4.71%
Avantage +1.42%
Kelly +2.03%
Croissance +0.096%
avec la cote maximale 3.32
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.21%31.59%31.62%33.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.033.013.3236.36%33.05%33.17%30.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.79%EV -6.21%E -4.53%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21%EV +4.71%E +1.42%K +2.03%G +0.096% | 3.1% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV +1.87%E +0.579%K +0.839%G +0.016% | 3.4% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -4.84%E -3.48%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV +0.925%E +0.289%K +0.420%G +0.004% | 3.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Bovada | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -6.21%E -4.53%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV +0.925%E +0.289%K +0.420%G +0.004% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.06%EV -2.79%E -1.96%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.94%EV -0.021%E -0.007%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.652%E -0.207%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.652%E -0.207%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.652%E -0.207%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%EV -3.47%E -2.46%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%EV -1.28%E -0.410%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-03 00:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.23%E -0.719%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.23%E -0.719%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| GTbets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.23%E -0.719%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 00:09 |
| Caesars | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.23%E -0.719%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 00:09 |
| Fliff | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.23%E -0.719%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.81%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.81%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 00:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.84%E -3.48%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.81%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.84%E -3.48%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -4.44%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -6.64%E -2.24%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 00:03 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 00:06 |
| Betsson | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| ReBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -1.42%E -0.983%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -8.22%E -2.83%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-02 23:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.10%E -1.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.54%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.54%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.54%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.54%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| TAB | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.54%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.69%E -4.18%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.23%EV -11.69%E -9.06%K -40.29%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.77%EV -12.64%E -4.56%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-03 00:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.27%E -4.82%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 00:08 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| BetOpenly | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-05-02 23:59 |
| Kalshi | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Polymarket | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Novig | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.25% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.75% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.46% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.54% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 00:08 |
| Matchbook | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.64% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.36% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.06% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.30% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64% | 3.1% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.66% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06% | 3.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.66% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06% | 3.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.66% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06% | 3.2% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.25% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.50% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.25% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 00:08 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.25% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 23:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.53% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46% | 4.7% | 2026-05-02 23:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.69% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.69% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Unibet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.95% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Casumo | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.95% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.47% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.84% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.65% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 23:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.15% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| Betway | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.70% | 12.4% | 2026-05-03 00:10 |