預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Carolina Hurricanes v Philadelphia Flyers

開賽時間： 2026-05-03 00:15 UTC

最終賽果： Carolina Hurricanes 3–0 Philadelphia Flyers

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

36 家博彩公司 (12 家納入分析 )

68%

32%

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Carolina Hurricanes (主隊)

預測 68.46%1.46公平賠率

EV -1.42%

優勢 -0.983%

Kelly -3.22%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.44

博彩公司預測分布

66.27%68.41%68.38%70.79%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

1.291.391.401.4477.52%71.77%71.43%69.44%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Philadelphia Flyers (客隊)

預測 31.54%3.17公平賠率

EV +4.71%

優勢 +1.42%

Kelly +2.03%

成長率 +0.096%

假設最高賠率為 3.32

博彩公司預測分布

29.21%31.59%31.62%33.73%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

2.753.033.013.3236.36%33.05%33.17%30.12%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Carolina Hurricanes (主隊)：68.46%；Philadelphia Flyers (客隊)：31.54%。對於「Philadelphia Flyers (客隊)」，該估計相當於3.17的公平十進位賠率。當時有4家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為3.32，對應+4.71%的正期望值。

有 21 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同（3 個賽果，而分析採用 2 個賽果）。由於存在這項差異，解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (36 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司	主隊	客隊 ▼	利潤率	更新時間
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 70.79%EV -6.21%E -4.53%K -16.78%G +0.000%	3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21%EV +4.71%E +1.42%K +2.03%G +0.096%	3.1%	2026-05-03 00:10
BetUS🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.54%G +0.000%	3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV +1.87%E +0.579%K +0.839%G +0.016%	3.4%	2026-05-03 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -4.84%E -3.48%K -12.41%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV +0.925%E +0.289%K +0.420%G +0.004%	3.2%	2026-05-03 00:10
Bovada🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -6.21%E -4.53%K -16.78%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV +0.925%E +0.289%K +0.420%G +0.004%	4.2%	2026-05-03 00:10
theScore Bet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 69.06%EV -2.79%E -1.96%K -6.63%G +0.000%	3.17I 31.55%NM 30.94%EV -0.021%E -0.007%K -0.010%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-05-03 00:10
BetAnything🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.54%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.652%E -0.207%K -0.303%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-05-03 00:10
Bally Bet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.54%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.652%E -0.207%K -0.303%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-05-03 00:10
betPARX🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.54%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.652%E -0.207%K -0.303%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-05-03 00:10
Pinnacle🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%EV -3.47%E -2.46%K -8.46%G +0.000%	3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%EV -1.28%E -0.410%K -0.602%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-05-03 00:09
Paddy Power🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.23%E -0.719%K -1.06%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-05-03 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.23%E -0.719%K -1.06%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-05-03 00:10
GTbets🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.54%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.23%E -0.719%K -1.06%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-03 00:09
Caesars🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.54%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.23%E -0.719%K -1.06%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-03 00:09
Fliff🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.54%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.23%E -0.719%K -1.06%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-03 00:10
DraftKings🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.81%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-05-03 00:10
Bet Right🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.81%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-05-03 00:09
FanDuel🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.84%E -3.48%K -12.41%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.81%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-03 00:10
SportsBet🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.84%E -3.48%K -12.41%G +0.000%	3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -4.44%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-05-03 00:10
Coral🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-03 00:10
BetMGM🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-03 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-03 00:10
PlayUp🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-03 00:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-03 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%	2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -6.64%E -2.24%K -3.39%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-03 00:03
Betr (AU)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-03 00:06
Betsson🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-03 00:10
NordicBet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-03 00:10
ReBet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -1.42%E -0.983%K -3.22%G +0.000%	2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -8.22%E -2.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-05-02 23:59
Fanatics🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.10%E -1.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.54%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-05-03 00:10
William Hill🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.54%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-03 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.54%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-03 00:10
Neds🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.54%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-03 00:10
TAB🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.54%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-03 00:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.69%E -4.18%K -6.49%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-03 00:10
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 68.23%EV -11.69%E -9.06%K -40.29%G +0.000%	2.77I 36.10%NM 31.77%EV -12.64%E -4.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%	13.6%	2026-05-03 00:00
Bet Victor🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.27%E -4.82%K -7.58%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-05-03 00:08

利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司	主隊	客隊	利潤率 ▲	更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%	3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%	0.2%	2026-05-03 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%	3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%	0.2%	2026-05-03 00:10
BetOpenly◎	1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%	3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%	0.7%	2026-05-02 23:59
Kalshi◎	1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%	3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%	0.9%	2026-05-03 00:10
Polymarket◎	1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%	3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%	0.9%	2026-05-03 00:10
Novig◎	1.43I 69.93%NM 69.25%	3.22I 31.06%NM 30.75%	1.0%	2026-05-03 00:10
ProphetX◎	1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%	3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%	1.2%	2026-05-03 00:10
Smarkets◎	1.37I 72.99%NM 67.46%	2.84I 35.21%NM 32.54%	8.2%	2026-05-03 00:08
Matchbook◎	1.33I 75.19%NM 67.64%	2.78I 35.97%NM 32.36%	11.2%	2026-05-03 00:10

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (21)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同，因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同，因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司	選項 1	選項 2	選項 3	利潤率 ▲	更新時間
ATG (SE)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 57.06%	4.35I 22.99%NM 22.30%	4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%	3.1%	2026-05-03 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.66%	4.35I 22.99%NM 22.27%	4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06%	3.2%	2026-05-03 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.66%	4.35I 22.99%NM 22.27%	4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06%	3.2%	2026-05-03 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.66%	4.35I 22.99%NM 22.27%	4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06%	3.2%	2026-05-03 00:10
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.25%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.50%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.25%	4.6%	2026-05-03 00:08
Marathon Bet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.25%	4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%	4.6%	2026-05-02 23:59
1xBet🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.53%	4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%	4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%	4.7%	2026-05-02 23:59
Coolbet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%	4.9%	2026-05-03 00:10
Grosvenor🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.69%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%	5.0%	2026-05-03 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.69%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%	5.0%	2026-05-03 00:10
Unibet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.95%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%	5.1%	2026-05-03 00:10
Casumo🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.95%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%	5.1%	2026-05-03 00:10
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.47%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%	5.5%	2026-05-03 00:10
TABtouch🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.84%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%	6.0%	2026-05-03 00:10
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%	7.0%	2026-05-03 00:10
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.65%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%	7.0%	2026-05-02 23:59
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.15%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%	7.4%	2026-05-03 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%	7.5%	2026-05-03 00:10
LeoVegas🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 56.71%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%	7.5%	2026-05-03 00:10
Betway🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%	8.4%	2026-05-03 00:10
PMU (FR)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 57.05%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%	4.30I 23.26%NM 20.70%	12.4%	2026-05-03 00:10