La scuola delle quote

Carolina Hurricanes v Philadelphia Flyers

Inizio: 2026-05-03 00:15 UTC

Finale: Carolina Hurricanes 3–0 Philadelphia Flyers

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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36 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Carolina Hurricanes (Casa)

Previsione 68.46%1.46quota equa
EV -1.42%
Vantaggio -0.983%
Kelly -3.22%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.27%68.41%68.38%70.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.291.391.401.4477.52%71.77%71.43%69.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Philadelphia Flyers (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.54%3.17quota equa
EV +4.71%
Vantaggio +1.42%
Kelly +2.03%
Crescita +0.096%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.21%31.59%31.62%33.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.033.013.3236.36%33.05%33.17%30.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 70.79%EV -6.21%E -4.53%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21%EV +4.71%E +1.42%K +2.03%G +0.096%3.1%2026-05-03 00:10
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV +1.87%E +0.579%K +0.839%G +0.016%3.4%2026-05-03 00:10
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -4.84%E -3.48%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV +0.925%E +0.289%K +0.420%G +0.004%3.2%2026-05-03 00:10
Bovada1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -6.21%E -4.53%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV +0.925%E +0.289%K +0.420%G +0.004%4.2%2026-05-03 00:10
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 69.06%EV -2.79%E -1.96%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.94%EV -0.021%E -0.007%K -0.010%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 00:10
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.652%E -0.207%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 00:10
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.652%E -0.207%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 00:10
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.652%E -0.207%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 00:10
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%EV -3.47%E -2.46%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%EV -1.28%E -0.410%K -0.602%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-03 00:09
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.23%E -0.719%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.23%E -0.719%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 00:10
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.23%E -0.719%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 00:09
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.23%E -0.719%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 00:09
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.23%E -0.719%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 00:10
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.81%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 00:10
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.81%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 00:09
FanDuel1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.84%E -3.48%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.81%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 00:10
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.84%E -3.48%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -4.44%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 00:10
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 00:10
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 00:10
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 00:10
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 00:10
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -6.64%E -2.24%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 00:03
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 00:06
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 00:10
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 00:10
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -1.42%E -0.983%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -8.22%E -2.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 23:59
Fanatics1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.10%E -1.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.54%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 00:10
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.54%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.54%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 00:10
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.54%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 00:10
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.54%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 00:10
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.69%E -4.18%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 00:10
NetBet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.23%EV -11.69%E -9.06%K -40.29%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.77%EV -12.64%E -4.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-03 00:00
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.15%E -2.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.27%E -4.82%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 00:08
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-05-03 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-05-03 00:10
BetOpenly1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-05-02 23:59
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-05-03 00:10
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-05-03 00:10
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 69.25%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.75%1.0%2026-05-03 00:10
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-05-03 00:10
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 67.46%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.54%8.2%2026-05-03 00:08
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 67.64%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.36%11.2%2026-05-03 00:10

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.06%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.30%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%3.1%2026-05-03 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.66%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06%3.2%2026-05-03 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.66%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06%3.2%2026-05-03 00:10
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.66%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06%3.2%2026-05-03 00:10
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.25%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.25%4.6%2026-05-03 00:08
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.25%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%4.6%2026-05-02 23:59
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.53%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%4.7%2026-05-02 23:59
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%4.9%2026-05-03 00:10
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.69%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-05-03 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.69%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-05-03 00:10
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.95%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%5.1%2026-05-03 00:10
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 56.95%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%5.1%2026-05-03 00:10
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.47%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%5.5%2026-05-03 00:10
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 56.84%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%6.0%2026-05-03 00:10
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%7.0%2026-05-03 00:10
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.65%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%7.0%2026-05-02 23:59
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.15%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%7.4%2026-05-03 00:10
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%7.5%2026-05-03 00:10
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 56.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%7.5%2026-05-03 00:10
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%8.4%2026-05-03 00:10
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.70%12.4%2026-05-03 00:10