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Carolina Hurricanes v New York Islanders
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Carolina Hurricanes (Local)
Prediction 68.60%1.46fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.848%
Kelly -2.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.35%68.54%68.87%70.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.391.381.4478.13%72.02%72.46%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Islanders (Visit)
Prediction 31.40%3.18fair odd
EV +2.06%
Edge +0.635%
Kelly +0.917%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.50%31.46%31.13%33.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.053.103.2535.71%32.81%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carolina Hurricanes (Local): 68.60%; New York Islanders (Visit): 31.40%. For New York Islanders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.18. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.06%.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.06%E +0.635%K +0.917%G +0.019% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.06%E +0.635%K +0.917%G +0.019% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.493%E +0.154%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.493%E +0.154%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.493%E +0.154%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 14:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.493%E +0.154%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 14:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.40%E -5.48%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.493%E +0.154%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 15:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.97%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.08%E -0.342%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-04 14:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -4.65%E -3.35%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -1.08%E -0.342%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 22:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.08%E -0.342%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 22:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.08%E -0.342%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.08%E -0.342%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -2.02%E -0.647%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 22:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -2.02%E -0.647%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 22:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.65%E -3.35%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 14:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 14:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 22:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 22:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 21:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 14:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 22:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%EV -1.22%E -0.848%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-04 22:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -1.91%E -1.33%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -1.91%E -1.33%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -1.91%E -1.33%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 22:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 22:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.97%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 22:48 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.82%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18%EV -10.18%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.82%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18%EV -10.18%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.78%EV -12.20%E -9.53%K -43.56%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.22%EV -11.44%E -4.06%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 22:58 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.66% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 22:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.54% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.54% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.54% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.54% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.94% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.20% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.02% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.89% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.90% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 22:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.54% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.84% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.24% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.21% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.30% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.93% | 12.4% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |