La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.44
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25
22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.06%E +0.635%K +0.917%G +0.019% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.06%E +0.635%K +0.917%G +0.019% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.493%E +0.154%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.493%E +0.154%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.493%E +0.154%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 14:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.493%E +0.154%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 14:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.40%E -5.48%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.493%E +0.154%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 15:29 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.97%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.08%E -0.342%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-04 14:49 |
| BetAnything | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -4.65%E -3.35%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -1.08%E -0.342%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 22:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.08%E -0.342%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 22:55 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.08%E -0.342%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.08%E -0.342%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -2.02%E -0.647%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 22:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -2.02%E -0.647%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 22:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.65%E -3.35%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 14:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 14:49 |
| GTbets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 22:30 |
| Caesars | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 22:30 |
| Fliff | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 21:44 |
| BetUS | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 14:50 |
| ReBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 22:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%EV -1.22%E -0.848%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-04 22:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -1.91%E -1.33%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 22:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -1.91%E -1.33%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -1.91%E -1.33%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 22:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 22:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.97%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 22:48 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.82%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18%EV -10.18%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.82%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18%EV -10.18%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.78%EV -12.20%E -9.53%K -43.56%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.22%EV -11.44%E -4.06%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 22:58 |
| TAB | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.66% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 22:55 |
| Polymarket | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.54% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.54% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.54% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.54% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.94% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.20% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.02% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.89% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.90% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 22:55 |
| Unibet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| Casumo | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 22:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.54% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.84% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.24% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.21% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.30% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.93% | 12.4% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |