A Escola das Odds

Carolina Hurricanes v New York Islanders

Início: 2026-04-04 23:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Carolina Hurricanes (Local)

Previsão 68.60%1.46odd justa
EV -1.22%
Vantagem -0.848%
Kelly -2.78%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.35%68.54%68.87%70.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.281.391.381.4478.13%72.02%72.46%69.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Islanders (Visitante)

Previsão 31.40%3.18odd justa
EV +2.06%
Vantagem +0.635%
Kelly +0.917%
Crescimento +0.019%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.50%31.46%31.13%33.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.053.103.2535.71%32.81%32.26%30.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.06%E +0.635%K +0.917%G +0.019%4.3%2026-04-04 22:49
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.06%E +0.635%K +0.917%G +0.019%4.3%2026-04-04 22:50
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.493%E +0.154%K +0.224%G +0.001%4.8%2026-04-04 22:50
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.493%E +0.154%K +0.224%G +0.001%4.8%2026-04-04 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.493%E +0.154%K +0.224%G +0.001%4.8%2026-04-04 14:49
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.493%E +0.154%K +0.224%G +0.001%4.8%2026-04-04 14:49
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.40%E -5.48%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.493%E +0.154%K +0.224%G +0.001%5.3%2026-04-04 15:29
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.97%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.08%E -0.342%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 14:49
BetAnything1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -4.65%E -3.35%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -1.08%E -0.342%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 22:29
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.08%E -0.342%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 22:55
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.08%E -0.342%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 22:49
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.08%E -0.342%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 22:35
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -2.02%E -0.647%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 22:54
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -2.02%E -0.647%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 22:54
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.65%E -3.35%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 14:49
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 14:49
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 22:30
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 22:30
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 23:04
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 21:44
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 22:49
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 14:50
ReBet1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 22:50
MyBookie.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 22:54
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%EV -1.22%E -0.848%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-04 22:55
Paddy Power1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -1.91%E -1.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 22:55
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -1.91%E -1.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -1.91%E -1.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 22:54
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 23:00
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 22:54
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 22:49
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.97%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 22:48
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.82%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18%EV -10.18%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 23:04
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.82%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18%EV -10.18%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 23:04
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 23:00
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 68.78%EV -12.20%E -9.53%K -43.56%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.22%EV -11.44%E -4.06%K -6.29%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 22:58
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 23:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.66%0.9%2026-04-04 23:00
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-04-04 22:55
Polymarket1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-04-04 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-04-04 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-04-04 23:05
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-04-04 23:05
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-04-04 23:00
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-04-04 23:00

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (22)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.54%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65%3.0%2026-04-04 22:50
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.54%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65%3.0%2026-04-04 22:49
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.54%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65%3.0%2026-04-04 22:49
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 59.54%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65%3.0%2026-04-04 22:50
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90%4.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%4.6%2026-04-04 22:59
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.20%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.02%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%4.7%2026-04-04 22:59
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.89%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.90%4.7%2026-04-04 22:55
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%5.1%2026-04-04 22:49
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%5.1%2026-04-04 22:49
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%5.1%2026-04-04 22:49
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%5.1%2026-04-04 22:50
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%6.7%2026-04-04 22:39
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%7.0%2026-04-04 22:49
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%7.1%2026-04-04 23:00
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%7.6%2026-04-04 22:49
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.54%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.84%7.8%2026-04-04 22:50
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%8.5%2026-04-04 23:00
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%8.8%2026-04-04 22:59
Codere (IT)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%9.1%2026-04-04 22:50
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.21%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%9.8%2026-04-04 23:00
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.30%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.93%12.4%2026-04-04 22:49