La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Carolina Hurricanes v New York Islanders
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Carolina Hurricanes (Local)
Predicción 68.60%1.46momio equitativo
EV -1.22%
Ventaja -0.848%
Kelly -2.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.35%68.54%68.87%70.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.391.381.4478.13%72.02%72.46%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
New York Islanders (Visitante)
Predicción 31.40%3.18momio equitativo
EV +2.06%
Ventaja +0.635%
Kelly +0.917%
Crecimiento +0.019%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.50%31.46%31.13%33.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.053.103.2535.71%32.81%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.06%E +0.635%K +0.917%G +0.019% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.06%E +0.635%K +0.917%G +0.019% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.493%E +0.154%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.493%E +0.154%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.493%E +0.154%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 14:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.493%E +0.154%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 14:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.40%E -5.48%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.493%E +0.154%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 15:29 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.97%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.08%E -0.342%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-04 14:49 |
| BetAnything | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -4.65%E -3.35%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -1.08%E -0.342%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 22:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.08%E -0.342%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 22:55 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.08%E -0.342%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.08%E -0.342%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -2.02%E -0.647%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 22:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -2.02%E -0.647%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 22:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.65%E -3.35%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 14:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 14:49 |
| GTbets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 22:30 |
| Caesars | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 22:30 |
| Fliff | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 21:44 |
| BetUS | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 14:50 |
| ReBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 22:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%EV -1.22%E -0.848%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-04 22:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -1.91%E -1.33%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 22:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -1.91%E -1.33%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -1.91%E -1.33%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 22:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 22:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.97%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 22:48 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.82%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18%EV -10.18%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.82%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18%EV -10.18%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.78%EV -12.20%E -9.53%K -43.56%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.22%EV -11.44%E -4.06%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 22:58 |
| TAB | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.66% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 22:55 |
| Polymarket | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.54% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.54% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.54% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.54% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.94% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.20% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.02% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.89% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.90% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 22:55 |
| Unibet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| Casumo | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 22:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.54% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.84% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.24% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 22:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.21% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.30% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.93% | 12.4% | 2026-04-04 22:49 |