L’École des cotes

Carolina Hurricanes v New York Islanders

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 23:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Carolina Hurricanes (Local)

Prévision 68.60%1.46cote équitable
EV -1.22%
Avantage -0.848%
Kelly -2.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.35%68.54%68.87%70.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.281.391.381.4478.13%72.02%72.46%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Islanders (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.40%3.18cote équitable
EV +2.06%
Avantage +0.635%
Kelly +0.917%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.50%31.46%31.13%33.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.053.103.2535.71%32.81%32.26%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.06%E +0.635%K +0.917%G +0.019%4.3%2026-04-04 22:49
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.06%E +0.635%K +0.917%G +0.019%4.3%2026-04-04 22:50
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.493%E +0.154%K +0.224%G +0.001%4.8%2026-04-04 22:50
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.493%E +0.154%K +0.224%G +0.001%4.8%2026-04-04 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.493%E +0.154%K +0.224%G +0.001%4.8%2026-04-04 14:49
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.493%E +0.154%K +0.224%G +0.001%4.8%2026-04-04 14:49
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.40%E -5.48%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.493%E +0.154%K +0.224%G +0.001%5.3%2026-04-04 15:29
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.97%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.08%E -0.342%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 14:49
BetAnything1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -4.65%E -3.35%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -1.08%E -0.342%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 22:29
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.08%E -0.342%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 22:55
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.08%E -0.342%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 22:49
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.08%E -0.342%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 22:35
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -2.02%E -0.647%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 22:54
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -2.02%E -0.647%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 22:54
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.65%E -3.35%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 14:49
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 14:49
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 22:30
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 22:30
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 23:04
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.65%E -0.854%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 21:44
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 22:49
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.71%E -4.93%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 14:50
ReBet1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -3.28%E -2.33%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 22:50
MyBookie.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 22:54
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%EV -1.22%E -0.848%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-04 22:55
Paddy Power1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -1.91%E -1.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 22:55
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -1.91%E -1.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -1.91%E -1.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 22:54
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 23:00
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 22:54
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 22:49
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.97%E -2.83%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 22:48
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.82%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18%EV -10.18%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 23:04
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.82%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18%EV -10.18%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 23:04
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.34%E -3.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 23:00
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 68.78%EV -12.20%E -9.53%K -43.56%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.22%EV -11.44%E -4.06%K -6.29%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 22:58
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.59%E -1.83%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 23:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.66%0.9%2026-04-04 23:00
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-04-04 22:55
Polymarket1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-04-04 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-04-04 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-04-04 23:05
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-04-04 23:05
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-04-04 23:00
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-04-04 23:00

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.54%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65%3.0%2026-04-04 22:50
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.54%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65%3.0%2026-04-04 22:49
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.54%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65%3.0%2026-04-04 22:49
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 59.54%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65%3.0%2026-04-04 22:50
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90%4.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%4.6%2026-04-04 22:59
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.20%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.02%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%4.7%2026-04-04 22:59
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.89%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.90%4.7%2026-04-04 22:55
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%5.1%2026-04-04 22:49
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%5.1%2026-04-04 22:49
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%5.1%2026-04-04 22:49
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%5.1%2026-04-04 22:50
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%6.7%2026-04-04 22:39
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%7.0%2026-04-04 22:49
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%7.1%2026-04-04 23:00
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%7.6%2026-04-04 22:49
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.54%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.84%7.8%2026-04-04 22:50
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%8.5%2026-04-04 23:00
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%8.8%2026-04-04 22:59
Codere (IT)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%9.1%2026-04-04 22:50
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.21%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%9.8%2026-04-04 23:00
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.30%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.93%12.4%2026-04-04 22:49