Esta página mide la precisión con que cada predictor anticipa los resultados observados. Todos los corredores registrados y todos los estimadores de La escuela de los momios se evalúan con la misma regla, sin ocultar los que obtienen puntuaciones desfavorables. Así puede comprobar si la agregación del mercado predice mejor o peor que un corredor aislado. Cualquiera de estos predictores —incluido un único corredor de alta precisión— puede emplearse como modelo en el resto del sitio.
Precisión de cada corredor en todos los partidos resueltos de los últimos 14 días, evaluada en dos cortes temporales: los momios de cierre —la última cotización anterior al inicio— y los momios disponibles 24 horas antes.
En los últimos 14 días, el estimador propio del sitio supera a 34 de 80 corredores seguidos en mercados de dos vías sobre la línea de cierre, medido en 527 partidos resueltos frente a los 302 del corredor líder.
Aquí se emplea la puntuación multiclase de Brier, promediada por partido; cuanto menor sea, mejor. El Brier de tasa base es la puntuación que habría obtenido un predictor climatológico, es decir, uno que siempre predijera las frecuencias observadas de los resultados, sobre los mismos partidos cubiertos por el corredor. BSS = 1 − Brier / Brier de tasa base: un valor mayor indica más habilidad; 0 iguala al predictor climatológico y un valor negativo rinde peor que este.
977 partidos resueltos evaluados, 86 corredores registrados.
| # | Corredor | Partidos | Margen | Brier | Brier de tasa base | BSS | Tasa base |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ProphetX | 302 | 1.30% | 0.4147 | 0.4884 | 0.1508 | 57.6% / 42.4% |
| 2 | LeoVegas | 276 | 6.60% | 0.4175 | 0.4895 | 0.1471 | 57.2% / 42.8% |
| 3 | Novig | 212 | 0.88% | 0.4168 | 0.4839 | 0.1388 | 59.0% / 41.0% |
| 4 | BetAnything | 292 | 4.12% | 0.4269 | 0.4906 | 0.1299 | 56.8% / 43.2% |
| 5 | Everygame | 188 | 3.79% | 0.4284 | 0.4919 | 0.1290 | 56.4% / 43.6% |
| 6 | Sky Bet | 124 | 6.44% | 0.4269 | 0.4895 | 0.1278 | 57.3% / 42.7% |
| 7 | William Hill | 241 | 5.69% | 0.4212 | 0.4826 | 0.1272 | 59.3% / 40.7% |
| 8 | Unibet (UK) | 315 | 4.72% | 0.4251 | 0.4869 | 0.1270 | 58.1% / 41.9% |
| 9 | LeoVegas (SE) | 297 | 5.53% | 0.4281 | 0.4895 | 0.1255 | 57.2% / 42.8% |
| 10 | Ladbrokes (UK) | 360 | 6.36% | 0.4264 | 0.4870 | 0.1244 | 58.1% / 41.9% |
| 11 | Betsson | 365 | 5.58% | 0.4240 | 0.4841 | 0.1242 | 58.9% / 41.1% |
| 12 | Betway | 317 | 5.45% | 0.4239 | 0.4838 | 0.1239 | 59.0% / 41.0% |
| 13 | Kalshi | 217 | 1.38% | 0.4210 | 0.4804 | 0.1235 | 59.9% / 40.1% |
| 14 | Svenska Spel | 307 | 4.98% | 0.4257 | 0.4851 | 0.1224 | 58.6% / 41.4% |
| 15 | Bally Bet | 397 | 5.08% | 0.4313 | 0.4904 | 0.1206 | 56.9% / 43.1% |
| 16 | Unibet (SE) | 315 | 5.11% | 0.4283 | 0.4869 | 0.1203 | 58.1% / 41.9% |
| 17 | Fanatics | 348 | 4.98% | 0.4261 | 0.4841 | 0.1198 | 58.9% / 41.1% |
| 18 | PointsBet (AU) | 310 | 5.44% | 0.4291 | 0.4870 | 0.1189 | 58.1% / 41.9% |
| 19 | ATG (SE) | 306 | 5.03% | 0.4259 | 0.4833 | 0.1186 | 59.2% / 40.8% |
| 20 | Betfair Exchange (EU) | 330 | 1.41% | 0.4262 | 0.4835 | 0.1185 | 59.1% / 40.9% |
| 21 | Betr (AU) | 344 | 5.81% | 0.4255 | 0.4827 | 0.1184 | 59.3% / 40.7% |
| 22 | LowVig.ag | 346 | 3.69% | 0.4294 | 0.4869 | 0.1180 | 58.1% / 41.9% |
| 23 | Unibet (NL) | 310 | 5.11% | 0.4297 | 0.4870 | 0.1177 | 58.1% / 41.9% |
| 24 | Fliff | 324 | 5.93% | 0.4316 | 0.4890 | 0.1175 | 57.4% / 42.6% |
| 25 | betano_uk | 307 | 7.46% | 0.4272 | 0.4840 | 0.1173 | 59.0% / 41.0% |
| 26 | MyBookie.ag | 229 | 5.14% | 0.4273 | 0.4840 | 0.1170 | 59.0% / 41.0% |
| 27 | Dabble (AU) | 163 | 5.30% | 0.4330 | 0.4900 | 0.1163 | 57.1% / 42.9% |
| 28 | GTbets | 334 | 4.43% | 0.4295 | 0.4859 | 0.1162 | 58.4% / 41.6% |
| 29 | PlayUp | 320 | 5.51% | 0.4348 | 0.4905 | 0.1136 | 56.9% / 43.1% |
| 30 | Hard Rock Bet | 422 | 5.11% | 0.4313 | 0.4862 | 0.1130 | 58.3% / 41.7% |
| 31 | BetOnline.ag | 357 | 3.69% | 0.4335 | 0.4881 | 0.1120 | 57.7% / 42.3% |
| 32 | NordicBet | 362 | 5.66% | 0.4287 | 0.4824 | 0.1112 | 59.4% / 40.6% |
| 33 | BetMGM | 430 | 4.88% | 0.4328 | 0.4867 | 0.1108 | 58.1% / 41.9% |
| 34 | Bovada | 359 | 4.43% | 0.4344 | 0.4874 | 0.1087 | 57.9% / 42.1% |
| 35 | betPARX | 420 | 5.04% | 0.4345 | 0.4869 | 0.1076 | 58.1% / 41.9% |
| 36 | 1xBet | 145 | 4.21% | 0.4308 | 0.4827 | 0.1075 | 59.3% / 40.7% |
| 37 | Coral | 389 | 6.55% | 0.4323 | 0.4843 | 0.1072 | 58.9% / 41.1% |
| 38 | Neds | 401 | 6.08% | 0.4296 | 0.4806 | 0.1061 | 59.9% / 40.1% |
| 39 | Matchbook | 333 | 1.41% | 0.4289 | 0.4798 | 0.1060 | 60.1% / 39.9% |
| 40 | Caesars | 315 | 5.24% | 0.4372 | 0.4889 | 0.1057 | 57.5% / 42.5% |
| 41 | Coolbet | 311 | 4.99% | 0.4311 | 0.4820 | 0.1056 | 59.5% / 40.5% |
| 42 | SportsBet | 367 | 5.90% | 0.4343 | 0.4853 | 0.1050 | 58.6% / 41.4% |
| 43 | Bet Victor | 290 | 7.43% | 0.4297 | 0.4800 | 0.1048 | 60.0% / 40.0% |
| 44 | ReBet | 303 | 5.14% | 0.4289 | 0.4784 | 0.1034 | 60.4% / 39.6% |
| 45 | Unibet | 325 | 5.48% | 0.4346 | 0.4846 | 0.1032 | 58.8% / 41.2% |
| 46 | Pinnacle | 425 | 3.50% | 0.4330 | 0.4827 | 0.1031 | 59.3% / 40.7% |
| 47 | La escuela de los momios — Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) | 527 | — | 0.4317 | 0.4809 | 0.1023 | 59.8% / 40.2% |
| 48 | La escuela de los momios — Mediana (Lista Curada) | 527 | — | 0.4317 | 0.4809 | 0.1022 | 59.8% / 40.2% |
| 49 | La escuela de los momios — Media ponderada por margen (Lista Curada) | 527 | — | 0.4318 | 0.4809 | 0.1022 | 59.8% / 40.2% |
| 50 | La escuela de los momios — Media (Lista Curada) | 527 | — | 0.4318 | 0.4809 | 0.1022 | 59.8% / 40.2% |
| 51 | Betfair Exchange (UK) | 392 | 2.05% | 0.4321 | 0.4812 | 0.1021 | 59.7% / 40.3% |
| 52 | La escuela de los momios — Media ponderada por actualización reciente (Lista Curada) | 527 | — | 0.4319 | 0.4809 | 0.1019 | 59.8% / 40.2% |
| 53 | Betfair Exchange (AU) | 394 | 2.49% | 0.4332 | 0.4814 | 0.1001 | 59.6% / 40.4% |
| 54 | Bet Right | 328 | 5.08% | 0.4321 | 0.4798 | 0.0994 | 60.1% / 39.9% |
| 55 | Ladbrokes (AU) | 407 | 6.08% | 0.4334 | 0.4812 | 0.0993 | 59.7% / 40.3% |
| 56 | FanDuel | 445 | 4.70% | 0.4383 | 0.4865 | 0.0993 | 58.2% / 41.8% |
| 57 | Smarkets | 262 | 3.88% | 0.4341 | 0.4818 | 0.0990 | 59.5% / 40.5% |
| 58 | BetRivers | 433 | 5.25% | 0.4393 | 0.4873 | 0.0985 | 58.0% / 42.0% |
| 59 | Casumo | 158 | 5.26% | 0.4326 | 0.4795 | 0.0978 | 60.1% / 39.9% |
| 60 | DraftKings | 464 | 4.73% | 0.4349 | 0.4820 | 0.0977 | 59.5% / 40.5% |
| 61 | BetUS | 247 | 4.05% | 0.4366 | 0.4834 | 0.0969 | 59.1% / 40.9% |
| 62 | Marathon Bet | 259 | 5.63% | 0.4344 | 0.4806 | 0.0963 | 59.8% / 40.2% |
| 63 | theScore Bet | 443 | 5.09% | 0.4371 | 0.4833 | 0.0956 | 59.1% / 40.9% |
| 64 | BoyleSports | 185 | 5.37% | 0.4300 | 0.4704 | 0.0859 | 62.2% / 37.8% |
| 65 | TAB | 348 | 5.98% | 0.4410 | 0.4820 | 0.0851 | 59.5% / 40.5% |
| 66 | Grosvenor | 161 | 6.18% | 0.4386 | 0.4790 | 0.0843 | 60.2% / 39.8% |
| 67 | Unibet (FR) | 147 | 11.02% | 0.4395 | 0.4778 | 0.0801 | 60.5% / 39.5% |
| 68 | Betclic (FR) | 189 | 8.18% | 0.4390 | 0.4765 | 0.0786 | 60.8% / 39.2% |
| 69 | LiveScore Bet | 181 | 5.55% | 0.4422 | 0.4768 | 0.0726 | 60.8% / 39.2% |
| 70 | Winamax (FR) | 170 | 7.13% | 0.4436 | 0.4776 | 0.0711 | 60.6% / 39.4% |
| 71 | Paddy Power | 288 | 6.64% | 0.4495 | 0.4811 | 0.0656 | 59.7% / 40.3% |
| 72 | PMU (FR) | 184 | 11.08% | 0.4406 | 0.4714 | 0.0653 | 62.0% / 38.0% |
| 73 | Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 233 | 5.51% | 0.4471 | 0.4779 | 0.0645 | 60.5% / 39.5% |
| 74 | Tipico (DE) | 176 | 7.52% | 0.4394 | 0.4688 | 0.0626 | 62.5% / 37.5% |
| 75 | Virgin Bet | 169 | 5.55% | 0.4451 | 0.4734 | 0.0597 | 61.5% / 38.5% |
| 76 | NetBet (FR) | 72 | 10.39% | 0.4476 | 0.4753 | 0.0582 | 61.1% / 38.9% |
| 77 | 888sport (SE) | 235 | 5.63% | 0.4333 | 0.4594 | 0.0567 | 64.3% / 35.7% |
| 78 | Mr Green (SE) | 235 | 5.61% | 0.4335 | 0.4594 | 0.0563 | 64.3% / 35.7% |
| 79 | BetOpenly | 146 | 2.35% | 0.4594 | 0.4865 | 0.0558 | 58.2% / 41.8% |
| 80 | Polymarket | 145 | 1.06% | 0.4495 | 0.4741 | 0.0519 | 61.4% / 38.6% |
| 81 | 888sport | 239 | 5.61% | 0.4376 | 0.4607 | 0.0503 | 64.0% / 36.0% |
| 82 | Winamax (DE) | 147 | 4.51% | 0.4353 | 0.4572 | 0.0480 | 64.6% / 35.4% |
| 83 | betfred_uk | 99 | 4.97% | 0.4662 | 0.4885 | 0.0457 | 57.6% / 42.4% |
| 84 | TABtouch | 207 | 5.51% | 0.4506 | 0.4696 | 0.0406 | 62.3% / 37.7% |
| 85 | Codere (IT) | 46 | 6.70% | 0.4663 | 0.4537 | -0.0278 | 65.2% / 34.8% |
| # | Corredor | Partidos | Margen | Brier | Brier de tasa base | BSS | Tasa base |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bally Bet | 73 | 6.59% | 0.4957 | 0.6215 | 0.2023 | 50.7% / 24.7% / 24.7% |
| 2 | 888sport (SE) | 160 | 9.84% | 0.5049 | 0.6291 | 0.1974 | 48.8% / 28.7% / 22.5% |
| 3 | 888sport | 161 | 9.80% | 0.5090 | 0.6308 | 0.1931 | 48.4% / 28.6% / 23.0% |
| 4 | TAB | 87 | 7.71% | 0.5232 | 0.6468 | 0.1911 | 44.8% / 27.6% / 27.6% |
| 5 | Suprabets | 60 | 5.49% | 0.5385 | 0.6650 | 0.1902 | 36.7% / 31.7% / 31.7% |
| 6 | Paddy Power | 185 | 10.20% | 0.5189 | 0.6357 | 0.1838 | 47.0% / 30.3% / 22.7% |
| 7 | Mr Green (SE) | 183 | 9.66% | 0.5123 | 0.6272 | 0.1832 | 49.2% / 28.4% / 22.4% |
| 8 | William Hill | 178 | 9.98% | 0.5339 | 0.6440 | 0.1710 | 45.5% / 28.7% / 25.8% |
| 9 | NetBet (FR) | 81 | 12.73% | 0.5332 | 0.6411 | 0.1682 | 45.7% / 30.9% / 23.5% |
| 10 | Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 137 | 10.76% | 0.5261 | 0.6315 | 0.1669 | 48.2% / 29.2% / 22.6% |
| 11 | BetRivers | 159 | 8.75% | 0.5411 | 0.6479 | 0.1649 | 44.0% / 30.8% / 25.2% |
| 12 | Pinnacle | 162 | 4.04% | 0.5292 | 0.6328 | 0.1638 | 46.9% / 32.1% / 21.0% |
| 13 | Virgin Bet | 254 | 10.57% | 0.5341 | 0.6375 | 0.1623 | 46.1% / 31.9% / 22.0% |
| 14 | LiveScore Bet | 254 | 10.52% | 0.5341 | 0.6375 | 0.1622 | 46.1% / 31.9% / 22.0% |
| 15 | FanDuel | 131 | 7.26% | 0.5364 | 0.6398 | 0.1616 | 45.8% / 31.3% / 22.9% |
| 16 | Betfair Exchange (AU) | 195 | 1.34% | 0.5422 | 0.6452 | 0.1596 | 45.1% / 29.2% / 25.6% |
| 17 | Betsson | 222 | 8.13% | 0.5351 | 0.6360 | 0.1586 | 46.8% / 30.6% / 22.5% |
| 18 | Betclic (FR) | 215 | 11.23% | 0.5317 | 0.6314 | 0.1580 | 47.0% / 32.6% / 20.5% |
| 19 | Betfair Exchange (UK) | 195 | 1.18% | 0.5433 | 0.6452 | 0.1579 | 45.1% / 29.2% / 25.6% |
| 20 | Betfair Exchange (EU) | 195 | 1.17% | 0.5434 | 0.6452 | 0.1577 | 45.1% / 29.2% / 25.6% |
| 21 | SportsBet | 154 | 8.25% | 0.5353 | 0.6334 | 0.1550 | 47.4% / 30.5% / 22.1% |
| 22 | BetOnline.ag | 146 | 5.48% | 0.5324 | 0.6300 | 0.1550 | 47.9% / 30.8% / 21.2% |
| 23 | Smarkets | 150 | 3.29% | 0.5243 | 0.6200 | 0.1543 | 50.0% / 30.0% / 20.0% |
| 24 | NordicBet | 226 | 8.27% | 0.5402 | 0.6386 | 0.1541 | 46.5% / 30.1% / 23.5% |
| 25 | DraftKings | 191 | 6.54% | 0.5481 | 0.6466 | 0.1522 | 44.0% / 31.9% / 24.1% |
| 26 | LeoVegas | 127 | 7.83% | 0.5319 | 0.6268 | 0.1514 | 49.6% / 26.0% / 24.4% |
| 27 | Sky Bet | 112 | 10.75% | 0.5340 | 0.6274 | 0.1488 | 49.1% / 28.6% / 22.3% |
| 28 | Coral | 211 | 8.83% | 0.5512 | 0.6465 | 0.1474 | 44.1% / 31.8% / 24.2% |
| 29 | Unibet (UK) | 266 | 6.95% | 0.5142 | 0.6029 | 0.1471 | 51.1% / 33.5% / 15.4% |
| 30 | BetUS | 94 | 6.25% | 0.5213 | 0.6109 | 0.1467 | 52.1% / 27.7% / 20.2% |
| 31 | Matchbook | 115 | 0.92% | 0.5324 | 0.6234 | 0.1459 | 49.6% / 29.6% / 20.9% |
| 32 | Bet Victor | 203 | 8.68% | 0.5388 | 0.6304 | 0.1453 | 48.3% / 29.6% / 22.2% |
| 33 | Ladbrokes (UK) | 247 | 9.26% | 0.5441 | 0.6360 | 0.1445 | 46.2% / 32.4% / 21.5% |
| 34 | Ladbrokes (AU) | 187 | 9.16% | 0.5430 | 0.6343 | 0.1439 | 47.1% / 31.0% / 21.9% |
| 35 | BoyleSports | 219 | 10.79% | 0.5498 | 0.6421 | 0.1438 | 45.2% / 31.5% / 23.3% |
| 36 | betano_uk | 197 | 8.75% | 0.5367 | 0.6262 | 0.1429 | 49.2% / 28.9% / 21.8% |
| 37 | betPARX | 111 | 8.01% | 0.5384 | 0.6258 | 0.1396 | 49.5% / 27.9% / 22.5% |
| 38 | MyBookie.ag | 55 | 7.53% | 0.5412 | 0.6288 | 0.1392 | 49.1% / 23.6% / 27.3% |
| 39 | betfred_uk | 222 | 9.52% | 0.5500 | 0.6387 | 0.1390 | 45.9% / 31.5% / 22.5% |
| 40 | BetMGM | 206 | 7.35% | 0.5542 | 0.6431 | 0.1382 | 45.1% / 31.1% / 23.8% |
| 41 | Neds | 189 | 9.29% | 0.5476 | 0.6347 | 0.1373 | 47.1% / 30.7% / 22.2% |
| 42 | ATG (SE) | 320 | 5.89% | 0.5257 | 0.6086 | 0.1361 | 50.0% / 34.1% / 15.9% |
| 43 | Casumo | 293 | 7.67% | 0.5297 | 0.6129 | 0.1356 | 50.2% / 32.4% / 17.4% |
| 44 | Svenska Spel | 319 | 6.02% | 0.5248 | 0.6071 | 0.1356 | 50.2% / 34.2% / 15.7% |
| 45 | La escuela de los momios — Media ponderada por actualización reciente (Lista Curada) | 449 | — | 0.5530 | 0.6393 | 0.1349 | 44.8% / 33.9% / 21.4% |
| 46 | La escuela de los momios — Media ponderada por margen (Lista Curada) | 449 | — | 0.5531 | 0.6393 | 0.1347 | 44.8% / 33.9% / 21.4% |
| 47 | La escuela de los momios — Media (Lista Curada) | 449 | — | 0.5533 | 0.6393 | 0.1346 | 44.8% / 33.9% / 21.4% |
| 48 | La escuela de los momios — Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) | 449 | — | 0.5533 | 0.6393 | 0.1345 | 44.8% / 33.9% / 21.4% |
| 49 | La escuela de los momios — Mediana (Lista Curada) | 449 | — | 0.5533 | 0.6393 | 0.1344 | 44.8% / 33.9% / 21.4% |
| 50 | Unibet | 338 | 7.59% | 0.5304 | 0.6117 | 0.1330 | 49.7% / 33.7% / 16.6% |
| 51 | Winamax (FR) | 230 | 11.55% | 0.5322 | 0.6131 | 0.1319 | 50.4% / 31.7% / 17.8% |
| 52 | Bovada | 212 | 7.53% | 0.5571 | 0.6406 | 0.1304 | 46.2% / 29.2% / 24.5% |
| 53 | LowVig.ag | 119 | 5.41% | 0.5394 | 0.6186 | 0.1280 | 50.4% / 29.4% / 20.2% |
| 54 | 1xBet | 319 | 5.51% | 0.5397 | 0.6165 | 0.1246 | 48.9% / 33.9% / 17.2% |
| 55 | Winamax (DE) | 260 | 9.16% | 0.5336 | 0.6094 | 0.1244 | 50.4% / 33.1% / 16.5% |
| 56 | Tipico (DE) | 172 | 8.19% | 0.5194 | 0.5908 | 0.1209 | 52.9% / 33.1% / 14.0% |
| 57 | theScore Bet | 94 | 7.73% | 0.5349 | 0.6055 | 0.1165 | 53.2% / 26.6% / 20.2% |
| 58 | Marathon Bet | 257 | 7.19% | 0.5295 | 0.5991 | 0.1163 | 50.6% / 35.4% / 14.0% |
| 59 | Unibet (SE) | 300 | 6.29% | 0.5334 | 0.6030 | 0.1154 | 51.0% / 33.7% / 15.3% |
| 60 | LeoVegas (SE) | 300 | 8.58% | 0.5340 | 0.6030 | 0.1145 | 51.0% / 33.7% / 15.3% |
| 61 | PMU (FR) | 116 | 12.87% | 0.5159 | 0.5825 | 0.1144 | 51.7% / 37.1% / 11.2% |
| 62 | Unibet (NL) | 222 | 6.94% | 0.5154 | 0.5808 | 0.1127 | 54.1% / 33.3% / 12.6% |
| 63 | Bet Right | 77 | 8.86% | 0.5513 | 0.6203 | 0.1113 | 50.6% / 27.3% / 22.1% |
| 64 | Betway | 293 | 7.65% | 0.5424 | 0.6084 | 0.1085 | 50.5% / 33.1% / 16.4% |
| 65 | PlayUp | 118 | 9.40% | 0.5531 | 0.6184 | 0.1056 | 50.8% / 28.0% / 21.2% |
| 66 | Fanatics | 110 | 6.72% | 0.5535 | 0.6188 | 0.1056 | 50.9% / 27.3% / 21.8% |
| 67 | TABtouch | 281 | 9.49% | 0.5374 | 0.6008 | 0.1055 | 51.6% / 33.1% / 15.3% |
| 68 | Grosvenor | 266 | 8.38% | 0.5254 | 0.5856 | 0.1029 | 53.0% / 34.2% / 12.8% |
| 69 | Kalshi | 77 | 1.74% | 0.5542 | 0.6139 | 0.0972 | 51.9% / 26.0% / 22.1% |
| 70 | Betr (AU) | 99 | 7.44% | 0.5636 | 0.6220 | 0.0938 | 50.5% / 26.3% / 23.2% |
| 71 | PointsBet (AU) | 129 | 7.26% | 0.5579 | 0.6153 | 0.0934 | 51.2% / 28.7% / 20.2% |
| 72 | Coolbet | 216 | 5.37% | 0.5221 | 0.5739 | 0.0903 | 55.1% / 32.9% / 12.0% |
| 73 | Codere (IT) | 206 | 8.44% | 0.5422 | 0.5887 | 0.0790 | 51.9% / 35.4% / 12.6% |
| 74 | Unibet (FR) | 162 | 15.35% | 0.5512 | 0.5972 | 0.0770 | 53.1% / 30.9% / 16.0% |
| 75 | BetAnything | 71 | 5.40% | 0.5908 | 0.6213 | 0.0491 | 50.7% / 23.9% / 25.4% |
| 76 | GTbets | 38 | 5.67% | 0.5570 | 0.5554 | -0.0030 | 60.5% / 18.4% / 21.1% |
847 partidos resueltos evaluados, 86 corredores registrados.
| # | Corredor | Partidos | Margen | Brier | Brier de tasa base | BSS | Tasa base |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BetOpenly | 66 | 1.42% | 0.3675 | 0.4775 | 0.2303 | 60.6% / 39.4% |
| 2 | Everygame | 89 | 3.93% | 0.3866 | 0.4969 | 0.2219 | 53.9% / 46.1% |
| 3 | LeoVegas | 236 | 7.39% | 0.4066 | 0.4939 | 0.1768 | 55.5% / 44.5% |
| 4 | Sky Bet | 95 | 6.28% | 0.4103 | 0.4955 | 0.1721 | 54.7% / 45.3% |
| 5 | Matchbook | 221 | 3.60% | 0.4060 | 0.4860 | 0.1647 | 58.4% / 41.6% |
| 6 | Betfair Exchange (EU) | 237 | 8.42% | 0.4071 | 0.4865 | 0.1632 | 58.2% / 41.8% |
| 7 | Betway | 243 | 4.86% | 0.4118 | 0.4896 | 0.1589 | 57.2% / 42.8% |
| 8 | Unibet (UK) | 272 | 5.71% | 0.4153 | 0.4922 | 0.1562 | 56.3% / 43.8% |
| 9 | Marathon Bet | 219 | 5.73% | 0.4146 | 0.4912 | 0.1559 | 56.6% / 43.4% |
| 10 | BetAnything | 186 | 4.19% | 0.4126 | 0.4887 | 0.1557 | 57.5% / 42.5% |
| 11 | PointsBet (AU) | 247 | 5.01% | 0.4216 | 0.4964 | 0.1506 | 54.3% / 45.7% |
| 12 | 1xBet | 123 | 4.57% | 0.4145 | 0.4854 | 0.1460 | 58.5% / 41.5% |
| 13 | Betr (AU) | 304 | 5.85% | 0.4207 | 0.4905 | 0.1422 | 56.9% / 43.1% |
| 14 | BoyleSports | 137 | 6.21% | 0.4171 | 0.4859 | 0.1416 | 58.4% / 41.6% |
| 15 | MyBookie.ag | 159 | 4.98% | 0.4233 | 0.4913 | 0.1385 | 56.6% / 43.4% |
| 16 | Coolbet | 276 | 4.98% | 0.4244 | 0.4924 | 0.1381 | 56.2% / 43.8% |
| 17 | ProphetX | 237 | 2.95% | 0.4263 | 0.4944 | 0.1377 | 55.3% / 44.7% |
| 18 | Fanatics | 295 | 4.74% | 0.4269 | 0.4937 | 0.1355 | 55.6% / 44.4% |
| 19 | Caesars | 212 | 5.13% | 0.4219 | 0.4871 | 0.1340 | 58.0% / 42.0% |
| 20 | Pinnacle | 309 | 4.08% | 0.4243 | 0.4894 | 0.1330 | 57.3% / 42.7% |
| 21 | William Hill | 154 | 5.69% | 0.4193 | 0.4835 | 0.1327 | 59.1% / 40.9% |
| 22 | Betclic (FR) | 139 | 7.48% | 0.4200 | 0.4838 | 0.1318 | 59.0% / 41.0% |
| 23 | Svenska Spel | 262 | 4.95% | 0.4289 | 0.4934 | 0.1307 | 55.7% / 44.3% |
| 24 | LeoVegas (SE) | 261 | 5.46% | 0.4296 | 0.4938 | 0.1301 | 55.6% / 44.4% |
| 25 | Bet Victor | 232 | 7.99% | 0.4271 | 0.4905 | 0.1292 | 56.9% / 43.1% |
| 26 | Bet Right | 274 | 5.10% | 0.4253 | 0.4883 | 0.1289 | 57.7% / 42.3% |
| 27 | GTbets | 298 | 4.49% | 0.4292 | 0.4919 | 0.1274 | 56.4% / 43.6% |
| 28 | Tipico (DE) | 128 | 7.58% | 0.4260 | 0.4878 | 0.1267 | 57.8% / 42.2% |
| 29 | Unibet (SE) | 271 | 5.09% | 0.4325 | 0.4950 | 0.1264 | 55.0% / 45.0% |
| 30 | SportsBet | 321 | 5.98% | 0.4293 | 0.4910 | 0.1256 | 56.7% / 43.3% |
| 31 | theScore Bet | 343 | 5.49% | 0.4299 | 0.4914 | 0.1252 | 56.6% / 43.4% |
| 32 | Fliff | 187 | 5.66% | 0.4254 | 0.4863 | 0.1251 | 58.3% / 41.7% |
| 33 | Bovada | 307 | 4.38% | 0.4318 | 0.4935 | 0.1251 | 55.7% / 44.3% |
| 34 | Smarkets | 225 | 6.77% | 0.4270 | 0.4879 | 0.1249 | 57.8% / 42.2% |
| 35 | Unibet (FR) | 110 | 11.49% | 0.4305 | 0.4919 | 0.1248 | 56.4% / 43.6% |
| 36 | betano_uk | 228 | 8.00% | 0.4296 | 0.4902 | 0.1235 | 57.0% / 43.0% |
| 37 | Unibet (NL) | 265 | 5.09% | 0.4340 | 0.4948 | 0.1230 | 55.1% / 44.9% |
| 38 | Bally Bet | 326 | 4.99% | 0.4341 | 0.4946 | 0.1223 | 55.2% / 44.8% |
| 39 | ATG (SE) | 260 | 4.97% | 0.4324 | 0.4924 | 0.1218 | 56.2% / 43.8% |
| 40 | Betfair Exchange (AU) | 292 | 13.35% | 0.4243 | 0.4829 | 0.1214 | 59.2% / 40.8% |
| 41 | Casumo | 116 | 5.31% | 0.4376 | 0.4963 | 0.1183 | 54.3% / 45.7% |
| 42 | Betfair Exchange (UK) | 286 | 12.93% | 0.4241 | 0.4808 | 0.1179 | 59.8% / 40.2% |
| 43 | FanDuel | 360 | 4.74% | 0.4344 | 0.4925 | 0.1179 | 56.1% / 43.9% |
| 44 | Kalshi | 178 | 3.53% | 0.4321 | 0.4893 | 0.1170 | 57.3% / 42.7% |
| 45 | BetMGM | 296 | 4.86% | 0.4344 | 0.4918 | 0.1167 | 56.4% / 43.6% |
| 46 | Ladbrokes (UK) | 294 | 6.67% | 0.4366 | 0.4941 | 0.1164 | 55.4% / 44.6% |
| 47 | Novig | 183 | 1.36% | 0.4311 | 0.4874 | 0.1156 | 57.9% / 42.1% |
| 48 | Hard Rock Bet | 340 | 4.84% | 0.4368 | 0.4938 | 0.1153 | 55.6% / 44.4% |
| 49 | LowVig.ag | 246 | 3.74% | 0.4382 | 0.4944 | 0.1138 | 55.3% / 44.7% |
| 50 | NordicBet | 264 | 5.47% | 0.4309 | 0.4861 | 0.1135 | 58.3% / 41.7% |
| 51 | ReBet | 329 | 6.48% | 0.4366 | 0.4915 | 0.1116 | 56.5% / 43.5% |
| 52 | Mr Green (SE) | 191 | 5.53% | 0.4259 | 0.4792 | 0.1111 | 60.2% / 39.8% |
| 53 | 888sport (SE) | 191 | 5.53% | 0.4259 | 0.4792 | 0.1111 | 60.2% / 39.8% |
| 54 | La escuela de los momios — Media ponderada por actualización reciente (Lista Curada) | 432 | — | 0.4339 | 0.4876 | 0.1101 | 57.9% / 42.1% |
| 55 | La escuela de los momios — Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) | 432 | — | 0.4340 | 0.4876 | 0.1099 | 57.9% / 42.1% |
| 56 | La escuela de los momios — Mediana (Lista Curada) | 432 | — | 0.4340 | 0.4876 | 0.1099 | 57.9% / 42.1% |
| 57 | La escuela de los momios — Media (Lista Curada) | 432 | — | 0.4340 | 0.4876 | 0.1099 | 57.9% / 42.1% |
| 58 | TAB | 263 | 6.12% | 0.4343 | 0.4878 | 0.1099 | 57.8% / 42.2% |
| 59 | La escuela de los momios — Media ponderada por margen (Lista Curada) | 432 | — | 0.4342 | 0.4876 | 0.1096 | 57.9% / 42.1% |
| 60 | Grosvenor | 119 | 5.89% | 0.4418 | 0.4957 | 0.1087 | 54.6% / 45.4% |
| 61 | DraftKings | 386 | 4.57% | 0.4370 | 0.4902 | 0.1085 | 57.0% / 43.0% |
| 62 | BetOnline.ag | 252 | 3.75% | 0.4411 | 0.4947 | 0.1084 | 55.2% / 44.8% |
| 63 | LiveScore Bet | 137 | 5.39% | 0.4415 | 0.4940 | 0.1063 | 55.5% / 44.5% |
| 64 | PlayUp | 260 | 5.36% | 0.4445 | 0.4970 | 0.1058 | 53.8% / 46.2% |
| 65 | Unibet | 276 | 5.48% | 0.4413 | 0.4933 | 0.1054 | 55.8% / 44.2% |
| 66 | Paddy Power | 215 | 6.20% | 0.4327 | 0.4835 | 0.1051 | 59.1% / 40.9% |
| 67 | Coral | 321 | 6.85% | 0.4405 | 0.4918 | 0.1045 | 56.4% / 43.6% |
| 68 | betPARX | 342 | 5.00% | 0.4428 | 0.4945 | 0.1044 | 55.3% / 44.7% |
| 69 | BetUS | 163 | 3.94% | 0.4385 | 0.4882 | 0.1018 | 57.7% / 42.3% |
| 70 | 888sport | 199 | 5.53% | 0.4306 | 0.4788 | 0.1007 | 60.3% / 39.7% |
| 71 | Virgin Bet | 124 | 5.40% | 0.4454 | 0.4936 | 0.0977 | 55.6% / 44.4% |
| 72 | Neds | 332 | 6.13% | 0.4413 | 0.4887 | 0.0970 | 57.5% / 42.5% |
| 73 | Winamax (FR) | 118 | 9.77% | 0.4359 | 0.4826 | 0.0967 | 59.3% / 40.7% |
| 74 | Dabble (AU) | 138 | 6.02% | 0.4483 | 0.4962 | 0.0966 | 54.3% / 45.7% |
| 75 | Ladbrokes (AU) | 335 | 6.12% | 0.4432 | 0.4884 | 0.0926 | 57.6% / 42.4% |
| 76 | BetRivers | 370 | 5.17% | 0.4482 | 0.4929 | 0.0908 | 55.9% / 44.1% |
| 77 | PMU (FR) | 163 | 11.27% | 0.4409 | 0.4842 | 0.0893 | 58.9% / 41.1% |
| 78 | Betsson | 246 | 5.49% | 0.4411 | 0.4777 | 0.0765 | 60.6% / 39.4% |
| 79 | TABtouch | 160 | 5.47% | 0.4516 | 0.4847 | 0.0683 | 58.8% / 41.3% |
| 80 | Winamax (DE) | 96 | 4.95% | 0.4420 | 0.4688 | 0.0571 | 62.5% / 37.5% |
| 81 | Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 82 | 5.66% | 0.4372 | 0.4572 | 0.0437 | 64.6% / 35.4% |
| 82 | NetBet (FR) | 51 | 10.18% | 0.4697 | 0.4906 | 0.0426 | 56.9% / 43.1% |
| 83 | betfred_uk | 72 | 4.93% | 0.4810 | 0.4938 | 0.0261 | 55.6% / 44.4% |
| 84 | Polymarket | 113 | 2.21% | 0.4720 | 0.4755 | 0.0074 | 61.1% / 38.9% |
| 85 | Codere (IT) | 46 | 7.41% | 0.4526 | 0.4537 | 0.0023 | 65.2% / 34.8% |
| # | Corredor | Partidos | Margen | Brier | Brier de tasa base | BSS | Tasa base |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paddy Power | 175 | 9.55% | 0.5044 | 0.6307 | 0.2003 | 48.0% / 30.3% / 21.7% |
| 2 | Bally Bet | 66 | 6.50% | 0.4846 | 0.5992 | 0.1911 | 54.5% / 22.7% / 22.7% |
| 3 | TAB | 76 | 7.81% | 0.5292 | 0.6468 | 0.1818 | 44.7% / 26.3% / 28.9% |
| 4 | LiveScore Bet | 209 | 10.39% | 0.5290 | 0.6409 | 0.1745 | 45.9% / 30.1% / 23.9% |
| 5 | Virgin Bet | 209 | 10.49% | 0.5292 | 0.6409 | 0.1744 | 45.9% / 30.1% / 23.9% |
| 6 | 888sport | 146 | 9.77% | 0.5144 | 0.6211 | 0.1719 | 50.7% / 26.0% / 23.3% |
| 7 | FanDuel | 126 | 8.21% | 0.5237 | 0.6323 | 0.1717 | 46.8% / 32.5% / 20.6% |
| 8 | SportsBet | 149 | 8.09% | 0.5200 | 0.6265 | 0.1699 | 48.3% / 31.5% / 20.1% |
| 9 | 888sport (SE) | 141 | 9.75% | 0.5116 | 0.6153 | 0.1684 | 51.8% / 25.5% / 22.7% |
| 10 | NordicBet | 202 | 7.87% | 0.5316 | 0.6370 | 0.1656 | 47.0% / 29.2% / 23.8% |
| 11 | Smarkets | 144 | 7.91% | 0.5230 | 0.6255 | 0.1638 | 49.3% / 29.2% / 21.5% |
| 12 | William Hill | 175 | 9.90% | 0.5384 | 0.6435 | 0.1634 | 45.7% / 28.0% / 26.3% |
| 13 | Ladbrokes (AU) | 150 | 8.48% | 0.5301 | 0.6330 | 0.1625 | 48.0% / 28.7% / 23.3% |
| 14 | Betfair Exchange (AU) | 171 | 11.69% | 0.5275 | 0.6297 | 0.1623 | 48.0% / 31.0% / 21.1% |
| 15 | Betfair Exchange (UK) | 171 | 10.98% | 0.5275 | 0.6297 | 0.1623 | 48.0% / 31.0% / 21.1% |
| 16 | Betfair Exchange (EU) | 171 | 11.00% | 0.5276 | 0.6297 | 0.1621 | 48.0% / 31.0% / 21.1% |
| 17 | Pinnacle | 157 | 5.48% | 0.5299 | 0.6322 | 0.1619 | 47.1% / 31.8% / 21.0% |
| 18 | Betsson | 199 | 7.80% | 0.5354 | 0.6385 | 0.1614 | 46.7% / 29.1% / 24.1% |
| 19 | BetRivers | 153 | 8.62% | 0.5443 | 0.6489 | 0.1613 | 43.8% / 30.7% / 25.5% |
| 20 | NetBet (FR) | 78 | 13.75% | 0.5324 | 0.6348 | 0.1612 | 47.4% / 29.5% / 23.1% |
| 21 | Mr Green (SE) | 164 | 9.61% | 0.5167 | 0.6149 | 0.1597 | 51.8% / 25.6% / 22.6% |
| 22 | Bet Victor | 148 | 9.44% | 0.5246 | 0.6235 | 0.1587 | 50.0% / 27.7% / 22.3% |
| 23 | BoyleSports | 194 | 10.62% | 0.5407 | 0.6420 | 0.1578 | 45.9% / 29.4% / 24.7% |
| 24 | DraftKings | 180 | 7.68% | 0.5460 | 0.6459 | 0.1547 | 44.4% / 31.1% / 24.4% |
| 25 | Coral | 167 | 8.10% | 0.5470 | 0.6459 | 0.1532 | 44.9% / 29.3% / 25.7% |
| 26 | Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 56 | 7.32% | 0.5342 | 0.6307 | 0.1531 | 46.4% / 33.9% / 19.6% |
| 27 | Neds | 152 | 8.68% | 0.5374 | 0.6332 | 0.1514 | 48.0% / 28.3% / 23.7% |
| 28 | ATG (SE) | 265 | 5.27% | 0.5202 | 0.6128 | 0.1511 | 49.8% / 33.2% / 17.0% |
| 29 | Betclic (FR) | 212 | 10.21% | 0.5382 | 0.6340 | 0.1510 | 46.7% / 32.1% / 21.2% |
| 30 | Ladbrokes (UK) | 200 | 8.71% | 0.5406 | 0.6362 | 0.1503 | 47.0% / 30.0% / 23.0% |
| 31 | BetOnline.ag | 125 | 6.68% | 0.5336 | 0.6276 | 0.1497 | 48.8% / 29.6% / 21.6% |
| 32 | BetMGM | 159 | 7.57% | 0.5426 | 0.6376 | 0.1490 | 47.2% / 27.7% / 25.2% |
| 33 | Svenska Spel | 264 | 5.25% | 0.5204 | 0.6111 | 0.1485 | 50.0% / 33.3% / 16.7% |
| 34 | Casumo | 241 | 7.15% | 0.5247 | 0.6162 | 0.1485 | 50.2% / 31.1% / 18.7% |
| 35 | betfred_uk | 186 | 8.68% | 0.5484 | 0.6426 | 0.1465 | 45.7% / 29.6% / 24.7% |
| 36 | Unibet | 283 | 7.09% | 0.5263 | 0.6161 | 0.1457 | 49.5% / 32.9% / 17.7% |
| 37 | LeoVegas | 123 | 7.88% | 0.5376 | 0.6269 | 0.1424 | 49.6% / 26.0% / 24.4% |
| 38 | Bovada | 177 | 7.76% | 0.5540 | 0.6454 | 0.1417 | 45.2% / 28.2% / 26.6% |
| 39 | betPARX | 108 | 8.06% | 0.5428 | 0.6322 | 0.1415 | 48.1% / 28.7% / 23.1% |
| 40 | Winamax (DE) | 219 | 9.95% | 0.5303 | 0.6138 | 0.1361 | 50.2% / 32.0% / 17.8% |
| 41 | betano_uk | 139 | 9.43% | 0.5345 | 0.6185 | 0.1359 | 51.1% / 26.6% / 22.3% |
| 42 | Unibet (UK) | 223 | 7.01% | 0.5182 | 0.5990 | 0.1349 | 52.0% / 32.7% / 15.2% |
| 43 | La escuela de los momios — Media ponderada por actualización reciente (Lista Curada) | 413 | — | 0.5544 | 0.6408 | 0.1348 | 44.8% / 33.2% / 22.0% |
| 44 | La escuela de los momios — Media ponderada por margen (Lista Curada) | 413 | — | 0.5546 | 0.6408 | 0.1344 | 44.8% / 33.2% / 22.0% |
| 45 | La escuela de los momios — Media (Lista Curada) | 413 | — | 0.5548 | 0.6408 | 0.1341 | 44.8% / 33.2% / 22.0% |
| 46 | La escuela de los momios — Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) | 413 | — | 0.5551 | 0.6408 | 0.1337 | 44.8% / 33.2% / 22.0% |
| 47 | La escuela de los momios — Mediana (Lista Curada) | 413 | — | 0.5552 | 0.6408 | 0.1336 | 44.8% / 33.2% / 22.0% |
| 48 | Suprabets | 51 | 8.98% | 0.5754 | 0.6636 | 0.1329 | 37.3% / 29.4% / 33.3% |
| 49 | BetUS | 78 | 6.97% | 0.5213 | 0.6006 | 0.1320 | 53.8% / 26.9% / 19.2% |
| 50 | Tipico (DE) | 153 | 8.45% | 0.5194 | 0.5972 | 0.1303 | 52.3% / 32.7% / 15.0% |
| 51 | Winamax (FR) | 223 | 13.85% | 0.5393 | 0.6198 | 0.1299 | 49.3% / 31.8% / 18.8% |
| 52 | Sky Bet | 100 | 12.53% | 0.5322 | 0.6094 | 0.1267 | 52.0% / 29.0% / 19.0% |
| 53 | 1xBet | 268 | 4.79% | 0.5413 | 0.6198 | 0.1266 | 48.9% / 32.8% / 18.3% |
| 54 | Unibet (SE) | 240 | 5.59% | 0.5272 | 0.6009 | 0.1228 | 51.7% / 32.9% / 15.4% |
| 55 | LeoVegas (SE) | 240 | 8.06% | 0.5278 | 0.6009 | 0.1217 | 51.7% / 32.9% / 15.4% |
| 56 | PMU (FR) | 128 | 12.95% | 0.5269 | 0.5992 | 0.1207 | 51.6% / 33.6% / 14.8% |
| 57 | Coolbet | 170 | 5.62% | 0.5239 | 0.5954 | 0.1202 | 52.9% / 31.8% / 15.3% |
| 58 | Bet Right | 69 | 8.58% | 0.5380 | 0.6108 | 0.1191 | 52.2% / 27.5% / 20.3% |
| 59 | Unibet (NL) | 204 | 6.95% | 0.5163 | 0.5859 | 0.1187 | 53.4% / 33.3% / 13.2% |
| 60 | PointsBet (AU) | 79 | 7.75% | 0.5341 | 0.6057 | 0.1182 | 53.2% / 26.6% / 20.3% |
| 61 | Fanatics | 100 | 6.63% | 0.5535 | 0.6274 | 0.1179 | 49.0% / 29.0% / 22.0% |
| 62 | LowVig.ag | 100 | 6.64% | 0.5436 | 0.6158 | 0.1173 | 51.0% / 29.0% / 20.0% |
| 63 | Grosvenor | 212 | 7.87% | 0.5184 | 0.5863 | 0.1158 | 53.3% / 33.5% / 13.2% |
| 64 | Marathon Bet | 217 | 6.38% | 0.5312 | 0.5985 | 0.1125 | 51.2% / 34.6% / 14.3% |
| 65 | Matchbook | 74 | 1.75% | 0.5171 | 0.5811 | 0.1101 | 56.8% / 25.7% / 17.6% |
| 66 | TABtouch | 222 | 9.28% | 0.5309 | 0.5965 | 0.1100 | 52.7% / 32.0% / 15.3% |
| 67 | theScore Bet | 74 | 8.73% | 0.5342 | 0.5990 | 0.1082 | 54.1% / 27.0% / 18.9% |
| 68 | PlayUp | 86 | 9.54% | 0.5427 | 0.6071 | 0.1061 | 52.3% / 29.1% / 18.6% |
| 69 | Betway | 202 | 7.78% | 0.5334 | 0.5958 | 0.1048 | 52.5% / 32.7% / 14.9% |
| 70 | Betr (AU) | 70 | 6.08% | 0.5452 | 0.6086 | 0.1041 | 52.9% / 25.7% / 21.4% |
| 71 | Unibet (FR) | 156 | 15.71% | 0.5563 | 0.6084 | 0.0857 | 51.3% / 31.4% / 17.3% |
| 72 | Kalshi | 64 | 2.21% | 0.5597 | 0.6079 | 0.0792 | 53.1% / 23.4% / 23.4% |
| 73 | Codere (IT) | 156 | 9.15% | 0.5381 | 0.5798 | 0.0719 | 54.5% / 32.7% / 12.8% |
| 74 | MyBookie.ag | 45 | 8.73% | 0.5851 | 0.6044 | 0.0321 | 53.3% / 20.0% / 26.7% |
| 75 | GTbets | 38 | 5.29% | 0.5528 | 0.5554 | 0.0046 | 60.5% / 18.4% / 21.1% |
| 76 | BetAnything | 32 | 6.54% | 0.6261 | 0.6230 | -0.0049 | 50.0% / 28.1% / 21.9% |