Paper Trading

Over 539 simulated bets in the last 14 days the rule returned -6.96% per unit staked, winning 27.8% of them against a predicted 29.7%.

What a mechanical betting rule would have returned over the settled games in this window — recorded, not projected. Every figure below is the result of applying the stated rule to prices that were actually offered.

Accuracy of every bookmaker on every settled game in the last 14 days, scored at two snapshots: the closing line (last tick before kickoff) and 24 hours before kickoff.