Language:English
Washington Mystics v Connecticut Sun
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Mystics (Local)
Prediction 68.36%1.46fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -5.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.59%68.30%68.54%69.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.391.391.4375.76%72.13%71.94%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Connecticut Sun (Visit)
Prediction 31.64%3.16fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -0.616%
Kelly -0.910%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.49%31.70%31.46%33.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.013.033.1036.36%33.19%33.00%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Mystics (Local): 68.36%; Connecticut Sun (Visit): 31.64%. For Connecticut Sun (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.16. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -1.91%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.25%E -1.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.66%E -2.26%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-28 23:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -2.93%E -2.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-28 23:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -2.93%E -2.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-28 23:18 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.93%E -2.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-28 04:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.93%E -2.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-28 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.61%E -2.56%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -4.13%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 22:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.61%E -2.56%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -4.13%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 22:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.61%E -2.56%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -4.13%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 22:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -3.61%E -2.56%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -7.29%E -2.49%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 22:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.49%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 18:03 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.49%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 23:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 23:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-28 23:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 11:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 22:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 11:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 11:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.82%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.82%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 22:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.82%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 22:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -4.98%E -3.58%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -2.54%E -0.826%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 23:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.98%E -3.58%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 22:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.98%E -3.58%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 22:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 22:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 22:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 22:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -2.54%E -0.826%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-28 22:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.49%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -5.71%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-28 22:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -6.35%E -4.63%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -4.44%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 23:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 23:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.87%E -3.08%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 23:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -9.77%E -7.40%K -30.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -6.66%E -2.26%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 69.02% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.98% | -0.1% | 2026-07-28 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-07-28 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-07-28 23:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-07-28 23:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-07-28 23:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.21% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.79% | 2.5% | 2026-07-28 23:30 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.