Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Mystics v Connecticut Sun

Início: 2026-07-28 23:33 UTC

Final: Washington Mystics 92–84 Connecticut Sun

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Mystics (Local)

Previsão 68.36%1.46odd justa
EV -2.25%
Vantagem -1.57%
Kelly -5.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.59%68.30%68.54%69.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.321.391.391.4375.76%72.13%71.94%69.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Connecticut Sun (Visitante)

Previsão 31.64%3.16odd justa
EV -1.91%
Vantagem -0.616%
Kelly -0.910%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.49%31.70%31.46%33.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.753.013.033.1036.36%33.19%33.00%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Washington Mystics (Local): 68.36%; Connecticut Sun (Visitante): 31.64%. Para Connecticut Sun (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.16. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.10, com valor esperado de -1.91%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.25%E -1.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.66%E -2.26%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-28 23:19
Bet Victor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -2.93%E -2.06%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-28 23:18
betano_uk🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -2.93%E -2.06%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-28 23:18
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.93%E -2.06%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-28 04:10
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.93%E -2.06%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-28 23:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.61%E -2.56%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -4.13%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 22:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.61%E -2.56%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -4.13%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 22:54
BetUS🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.61%E -2.56%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -4.13%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 22:59
ReBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -3.61%E -2.56%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -7.29%E -2.49%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 22:54
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 23:29
Caesars🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.49%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 18:03
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.49%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 23:30
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 23:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 23:19
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 11:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 22:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 11:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 11:24
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.82%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 23:29
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.82%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 22:04
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.82%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 22:04
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -4.98%E -3.58%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -2.54%E -0.826%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-28 23:08
Betr (AU)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.98%E -3.58%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:44
Bet Right🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.98%E -3.58%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 22:54
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 22:54
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 22:54
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -2.54%E -0.826%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 22:54
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.49%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:29
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:29
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -5.71%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 23:29
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-28 22:54
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -6.35%E -4.63%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -4.44%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:29
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:29
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:29
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:29
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:30
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:29
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 23:29
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.87%E -3.08%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 23:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -9.77%E -7.40%K -30.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -6.66%E -2.26%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-28 23:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 69.02%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.98%-0.1%2026-07-28 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-28 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-28 23:20
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-07-28 23:29
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-07-28 23:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-07-28 23:29
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-07-28 23:30
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 69.21%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.79%2.5%2026-07-28 23:30