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Washington Mystics v Connecticut Sun
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Washington Mystics (Local)
Predicción 68.36%1.46momio equitativo
EV -2.25%
Ventaja -1.57%
Kelly -5.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.59%68.30%68.54%69.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.321.391.391.4375.76%72.13%71.94%69.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Connecticut Sun (Visitante)
Predicción 31.64%3.16momio equitativo
EV -1.91%
Ventaja -0.616%
Kelly -0.910%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.49%31.70%31.46%33.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.753.013.033.1036.36%33.19%33.00%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Washington Mystics (Local): 68.36%; Connecticut Sun (Visitante): 31.64%. Para Connecticut Sun (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.16. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.10, con un valor esperado de -1.91%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.25%E -1.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.66%E -2.26%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-28 23:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -2.93%E -2.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-28 23:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -2.93%E -2.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-28 23:18 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.93%E -2.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-28 04:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.93%E -2.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-28 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.61%E -2.56%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -4.13%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 22:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.61%E -2.56%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -4.13%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 22:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.61%E -2.56%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -4.13%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 22:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -3.61%E -2.56%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -7.29%E -2.49%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 22:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.49%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 18:03 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.49%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 23:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 23:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-28 23:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 11:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 22:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 11:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 11:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.82%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.82%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 22:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.82%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 22:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -4.98%E -3.58%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -2.54%E -0.826%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 23:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.98%E -3.58%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 22:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.98%E -3.58%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 22:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 22:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 22:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 22:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -2.54%E -0.826%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-28 22:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.49%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -5.71%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-28 22:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -6.35%E -4.63%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -4.44%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 23:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 23:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.87%E -3.08%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 23:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -9.77%E -7.40%K -30.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -6.66%E -2.26%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 69.02% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.98% | -0.1% | 2026-07-28 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-07-28 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-07-28 23:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-07-28 23:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-07-28 23:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.21% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.79% | 2.5% | 2026-07-28 23:30 |