La escuela de los momios

Washington Mystics v Connecticut Sun

2026-07-28 23:30 UTC — WNBA

Resultado del partido

37 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Washington Mystics (Local)

Predicción 66.47%1.50momio equitativo
EV -1.62%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -3.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.42%66.40%66.43%67.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.431.431.4872.46%70.04%69.93%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Connecticut Sun (Visitante)

Predicción 33.53%2.98momio equitativo
EV +0.251%
Ventaja +0.084%
Kelly +0.126%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.99

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.05%33.60%33.57%35.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.802.802.9938.46%35.68%35.71%33.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.95%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.05%EV +0.251%E +0.084%K +0.126%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 15:30
Caesars1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -2.10%E -0.718%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 18:37
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.62%E -2.49%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.77%E -0.954%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 15:30
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.61%E -3.95%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.77%E -0.954%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 15:35
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.94%E -4.96%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.77%E -0.954%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 02:35
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.94%E -4.96%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.77%E -0.954%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 02:35
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.94%E -4.96%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.77%E -0.954%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 02:30
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.61%E -3.95%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.44%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 02:09
GTbets1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.28%E -2.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 18:25
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.28%E -2.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 23:34
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.28%E -2.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-24 21:44
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.61%E -3.95%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 15:30
Coolbet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 15:35
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.28%E -2.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -5.45%E -1.93%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.28%E -2.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 15:20
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.28%E -2.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 15:20
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.28%E -2.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 15:20
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.28%E -2.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 15:20
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.28%E -2.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 15:20
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.28%E -2.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 15:20
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.28%E -2.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 15:20
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.28%E -2.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 15:20
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-23 15:20
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-23 15:20
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.61%E -3.95%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 15:30
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.61%E -3.95%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 15:30
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.94%E -4.96%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 15:30
ReBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -6.79%E -2.44%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 01:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.62%E -2.49%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.80%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 21:45
Neds1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.62%E -2.49%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.80%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 21:45
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.94%E -4.96%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 21:49
betano_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.94%E -4.96%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 21:45
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -8.27%E -5.99%K -21.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 15:20
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -1.62%E -1.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -10.14%E -3.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 03:40
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -2.95%E -2.02%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -11.15%E -4.21%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 03:39
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.28%E -2.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -12.15%E -4.64%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 15:30
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -5.61%E -3.95%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -12.82%E -4.93%K -8.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 15:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-07-26 04:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 66.45%2.00I 50.00%NM 33.55%49.0%2026-07-25 05:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 66.45%2.00I 50.00%NM 33.55%49.0%2026-07-25 05:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 66.45%2.00I 50.00%NM 33.55%49.0%2026-07-25 05:05