默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Washington Mystics v Connecticut Sun

开赛时间: 2026-07-28 23:33 UTC

最终结果: Washington Mystics 92–84 Connecticut Sun

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

46 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Washington Mystics (主队)

预测 68.36%1.46公平赔率
EV -2.25%
优势 -1.57%
Kelly -5.23%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.43

博彩公司预测分布
66.59%68.30%68.54%69.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.321.391.391.4375.76%72.13%71.94%69.93%最小值均值中位数最大值

Connecticut Sun (客队)

预测 31.64%3.16公平赔率
EV -1.91%
优势 -0.616%
Kelly -0.910%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.10

博彩公司预测分布
30.49%31.70%31.46%33.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.753.013.033.1036.36%33.19%33.00%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Washington Mystics (主队):68.36%;Connecticut Sun (客队):31.64%。 对于“Connecticut Sun (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.16。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.10,期望值为-1.91%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.25%E -1.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.66%E -2.26%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-28 23:19
Bet Victor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -2.93%E -2.06%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-28 23:18
betano_uk🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -2.93%E -2.06%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-28 23:18
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.93%E -2.06%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-28 04:10
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.93%E -2.06%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-28 23:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.61%E -2.56%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -4.13%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 22:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.61%E -2.56%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -4.13%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 22:54
BetUS🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.61%E -2.56%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -4.13%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 22:59
ReBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -3.61%E -2.56%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -7.29%E -2.49%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 22:54
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 23:29
Caesars🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.49%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 18:03
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.49%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 23:30
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 23:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 23:19
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 11:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 22:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 11:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 11:24
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.82%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 23:29
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.82%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 22:04
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.82%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 22:04
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -4.98%E -3.58%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -2.54%E -0.826%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-28 23:08
Betr (AU)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.98%E -3.58%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:44
Bet Right🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.98%E -3.58%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 22:54
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 22:54
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 22:54
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -2.54%E -0.826%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 22:54
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.49%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:29
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:29
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -5.71%E -1.92%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 23:29
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-28 22:54
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -6.35%E -4.63%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -4.44%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:29
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:29
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:29
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:29
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:30
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.91%E -0.616%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:29
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 23:29
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.87%E -3.08%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 23:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -9.77%E -7.40%K -30.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -6.66%E -2.26%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-28 23:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 69.02%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.98%-0.1%2026-07-28 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-28 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-28 23:20
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-07-28 23:29
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-07-28 23:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-07-28 23:29
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-07-28 23:30
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 69.21%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.79%2.5%2026-07-28 23:30