L’École des cotes

Washington Mystics v Connecticut Sun

2026-07-28 23:30 UTC — WNBA

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Washington Mystics (Local)

Prévision 66.47%1.50cote équitable
EV -1.62%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -3.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.42%66.40%66.43%67.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.431.431.4872.46%70.04%69.93%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Connecticut Sun (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.53%2.98cote équitable
EV +0.251%
Avantage +0.084%
Kelly +0.126%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.05%33.60%33.57%35.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.802.802.9938.46%35.68%35.71%33.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.95%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.05%EV +0.251%E +0.084%K +0.126%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 15:30
Caesars1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -2.10%E -0.718%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 18:37
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.62%E -2.49%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.77%E -0.954%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 15:30
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.61%E -3.95%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.77%E -0.954%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 15:35
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.94%E -4.96%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.77%E -0.954%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 02:35
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.94%E -4.96%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.77%E -0.954%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 02:35
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.94%E -4.96%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.77%E -0.954%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 02:30
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.61%E -3.95%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.44%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 02:09
GTbets1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.28%E -2.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 18:25
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.28%E -2.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 23:34
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.28%E -2.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-24 21:44
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.61%E -3.95%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 15:30
Coolbet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 15:35
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.28%E -2.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -5.45%E -1.93%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.28%E -2.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 15:20
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.28%E -2.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 15:20
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.28%E -2.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 15:20
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.28%E -2.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 15:20
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.28%E -2.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 15:20
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.28%E -2.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 15:20
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.28%E -2.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 15:20
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.28%E -2.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 15:20
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-23 15:20
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-23 15:20
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.61%E -3.95%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 15:30
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.61%E -3.95%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 15:30
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.94%E -4.96%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.12%E -2.19%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 15:30
ReBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -6.79%E -2.44%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 01:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.62%E -2.49%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.80%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 21:45
Neds1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.62%E -2.49%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.80%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 21:45
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.94%E -4.96%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 21:49
betano_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.94%E -4.96%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 21:45
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -8.27%E -5.99%K -21.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 15:20
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -1.62%E -1.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -10.14%E -3.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 03:40
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -2.95%E -2.02%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -11.15%E -4.21%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 03:39
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.28%E -2.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -12.15%E -4.64%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 15:30
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -5.61%E -3.95%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -12.82%E -4.93%K -8.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 15:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-07-26 04:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 66.45%2.00I 50.00%NM 33.55%49.0%2026-07-25 05:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 66.45%2.00I 50.00%NM 33.55%49.0%2026-07-25 05:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 66.45%2.00I 50.00%NM 33.55%49.0%2026-07-25 05:05