Language:English
Portland Fire v New York Liberty
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Portland Fire (Local)
Prediction 17.41%5.75fair odd
EV +2.69%
Edge +0.457%
Kelly +0.550%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 5.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.19%17.45%17.35%19.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.475.505.9020.83%18.27%18.18%16.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Liberty (Visit)
Prediction 82.59%1.21fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -9.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.13%82.55%82.65%83.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.151.151.1992.59%87.09%86.96%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Fire (Local): 17.41%; New York Liberty (Visit): 82.59%. For Portland Fire (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.75. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +2.69%E +0.457%K +0.550%G +0.015% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-15 02:03 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +0.084%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV -0.787%E -0.138%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -4.19%E -3.61%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-15 02:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV -2.53%E -0.451%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -2.54%E -2.15%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-15 01:56 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.53%E -0.451%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-15 02:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -2.88%E -0.515%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.19%E -3.61%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -2.88%E -0.515%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.19%E -3.61%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -3.40%E -0.612%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.19%E -3.61%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-15 02:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 01:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 01:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 01:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 01:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 01:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.48I 18.25%NM 17.22%EV -4.62%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.78%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.62%EV -4.79%E -0.876%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.38%EV -3.36%E -2.88%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-15 02:01 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.01%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.01%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-15 02:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.01%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-15 01:58 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.75%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 01:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.36%E -2.88%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-15 02:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.19%E -3.61%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 01:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 01:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -7.49%E -6.69%K -62.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -9.49%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-15 02:02 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.97%E -2.59%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.36%E -2.88%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.97%E -2.59%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.97%E -2.59%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-15 01:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.76%EV -12.97%E -2.59%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.24%EV -10.80%E -10.00%K -134.98%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -16.45%E -3.43%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -1.71%E -1.44%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -16.45%E -3.43%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -1.71%E -1.44%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42% | 2.3% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42% | 2.3% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| Novig◎ | 5.99I 16.69%NM 16.22% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.78% | 2.9% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79% | 3.6% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 02:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 47.01% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 52.99% | 59.9% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |