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Portland Fire v New York Liberty
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Portland Fire (Local)
Predicción 17.41%5.75momio equitativo
EV +2.69%
Ventaja +0.457%
Kelly +0.550%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.19%17.45%17.35%19.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.805.475.505.9020.83%18.27%18.18%16.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
New York Liberty (Visitante)
Predicción 82.59%1.21momio equitativo
EV -1.71%
Ventaja -1.44%
Kelly -9.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.19
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
80.13%82.55%82.65%83.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.081.151.151.1992.59%87.09%86.96%84.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Portland Fire (Local): 17.41%; New York Liberty (Visitante): 82.59%. Para Portland Fire (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.75. 13 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.90, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.69%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +2.69%E +0.457%K +0.550%G +0.015% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-15 02:03 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +0.084%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV -0.787%E -0.138%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -4.19%E -3.61%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-15 02:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV -2.53%E -0.451%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -2.54%E -2.15%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-15 01:56 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.53%E -0.451%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-15 02:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -2.88%E -0.515%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.19%E -3.61%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -2.88%E -0.515%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.19%E -3.61%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -3.40%E -0.612%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.19%E -3.61%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-15 02:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 01:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 01:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 01:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 01:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 01:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.48I 18.25%NM 17.22%EV -4.62%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.78%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.62%EV -4.79%E -0.876%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.38%EV -3.36%E -2.88%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-15 02:01 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.01%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.01%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-15 02:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.01%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-15 01:58 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.75%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 01:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.36%E -2.88%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-15 02:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.19%E -3.61%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 01:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 01:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -7.49%E -6.69%K -62.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -9.49%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-15 02:02 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.97%E -2.59%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.36%E -2.88%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.97%E -2.59%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.97%E -2.59%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-15 01:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.76%EV -12.97%E -2.59%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.24%EV -10.80%E -10.00%K -134.98%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -16.45%E -3.43%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -1.71%E -1.44%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -16.45%E -3.43%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -1.71%E -1.44%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42% | 2.3% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42% | 2.3% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| Novig◎ | 5.99I 16.69%NM 16.22% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.78% | 2.9% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79% | 3.6% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 02:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 47.01% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 52.99% | 59.9% | 2026-05-15 02:05 |