L’École des cotes

Portland Fire v New York Liberty

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-15 02:09 UTC

Score final : Portland Fire 82–100 New York Liberty

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Portland Fire (Local)

Prévision 17.41%5.75cote équitable
EV +2.69%
Avantage +0.457%
Kelly +0.550%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 5.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.19%17.45%17.35%19.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.805.475.505.9020.83%18.27%18.18%16.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Liberty (Visiteur)

Prévision 82.59%1.21cote équitable
EV -1.71%
Avantage -1.44%
Kelly -9.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
80.13%82.55%82.65%83.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.081.151.151.1992.59%87.09%86.96%84.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Caesars5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +2.69%E +0.457%K +0.550%G +0.015%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 02:03
Unibet (NL)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
LeoVegas5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
Unibet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
BetRivers5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
LeoVegas (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
Unibet (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
TABtouch5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
Bally Bet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
Svenska Spel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
betPARX5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
ATG (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
BetMGM5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +0.084%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 02:05
BetUS5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV -0.787%E -0.138%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -4.19%E -3.61%K -26.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-15 02:04
Bet Victor5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV -2.53%E -0.451%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -2.54%E -2.15%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-15 01:56
Fanatics5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.53%E -0.451%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 02:04
LowVig.ag5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -2.88%E -0.515%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.19%E -3.61%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 02:05
BetOnline.ag5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -2.88%E -0.515%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.19%E -3.61%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 02:05
DraftKings5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -3.40%E -0.612%K -0.747%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.19%E -3.61%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 02:04
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 01:59
Bet Right5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 02:05
BetAnything5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 01:59
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 02:05
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 01:59
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 02:05
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 01:59
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 01:59
GTbets5.48I 18.25%NM 17.22%EV -4.62%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.78%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 02:05
Pinnacle5.47I 18.28%NM 17.62%EV -4.79%E -0.876%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.38%EV -3.36%E -2.88%K -19.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-15 02:01
FanDuel5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.01%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 02:05
MyBookie.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.01%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 02:04
ReBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.01%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 01:58
Coolbet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.75%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 01:58
Bovada5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.36%E -2.88%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 02:04
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.19%E -3.61%K -26.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 02:05
NordicBet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 01:59
Betsson5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 01:59
Hard Rock Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 02:05
Fliff5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -7.49%E -6.69%K -62.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 02:05
TAB5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -9.49%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 02:02
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.97%E -2.59%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.36%E -2.88%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 02:05
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.97%E -2.59%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 02:05
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.97%E -2.59%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 01:59
PMU (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.76%EV -12.97%E -2.59%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 82.24%EV -10.80%E -10.00%K -134.98%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-15 02:05
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -16.45%E -3.43%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -1.71%E -1.44%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 02:05
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -16.45%E -3.43%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -1.71%E -1.44%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 02:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42%2.3%2026-05-15 02:05
Kalshi5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42%2.3%2026-05-15 02:05
Novig5.99I 16.69%NM 16.22%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.78%2.9%2026-05-15 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%3.6%2026-05-15 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%5.8%2026-05-15 02:05
ProphetX5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%6.8%2026-05-15 02:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 47.01%1.18I 84.75%NM 52.99%59.9%2026-05-15 02:05