مدرسة الاحتمالات

Portland Fire v New York Liberty

البداية: 2026-05-15 02:09 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Portland Fire 82–100 New York Liberty

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Portland Fire (المضيف)

التنبؤ 17.41%5.75السعر العادل
EV +2.69%
الأفضلية +0.457%
Kelly +0.550%
النمو +0.015%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.19%17.45%17.35%19.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.805.475.505.9020.83%18.27%18.18%16.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

New York Liberty (الضيف)

التنبؤ 82.59%1.21السعر العادل
EV -1.71%
الأفضلية -1.44%
Kelly -9.02%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.19

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
80.13%82.55%82.65%83.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.081.151.151.1992.59%87.09%86.96%84.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Caesars5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +2.69%E +0.457%K +0.550%G +0.015%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 02:03
Unibet (NL)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
LeoVegas5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
Unibet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
BetRivers5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
LeoVegas (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
Unibet (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
TABtouch5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
Bally Bet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
Svenska Spel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
betPARX5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
ATG (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
BetMGM5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +0.084%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 02:05
BetUS5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV -0.787%E -0.138%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -4.19%E -3.61%K -26.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-15 02:04
Bet Victor5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV -2.53%E -0.451%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -2.54%E -2.15%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-15 01:56
Fanatics5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.53%E -0.451%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 02:04
LowVig.ag5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -2.88%E -0.515%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.19%E -3.61%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 02:05
BetOnline.ag5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -2.88%E -0.515%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.19%E -3.61%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 02:05
DraftKings5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -3.40%E -0.612%K -0.747%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.19%E -3.61%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 02:04
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 01:59
Bet Right5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 02:05
BetAnything5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 01:59
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 02:05
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 01:59
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 02:05
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 01:59
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 01:59
GTbets5.48I 18.25%NM 17.22%EV -4.62%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.78%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 02:05
Pinnacle5.47I 18.28%NM 17.62%EV -4.79%E -0.876%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.38%EV -3.36%E -2.88%K -19.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-15 02:01
FanDuel5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.01%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 02:05
MyBookie.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.01%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 02:04
ReBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.01%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 01:58
Coolbet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.75%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 01:58
Bovada5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.36%E -2.88%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 02:04
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.19%E -3.61%K -26.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 02:05
NordicBet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 01:59
Betsson5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 01:59
Hard Rock Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 02:05
Fliff5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -7.49%E -6.69%K -62.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 02:05
TAB5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -9.49%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 02:02
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.97%E -2.59%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.36%E -2.88%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 02:05
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.97%E -2.59%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 02:05
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.97%E -2.59%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 01:59
PMU (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.76%EV -12.97%E -2.59%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 82.24%EV -10.80%E -10.00%K -134.98%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-15 02:05
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -16.45%E -3.43%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -1.71%E -1.44%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 02:05
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -16.45%E -3.43%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -1.71%E -1.44%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 02:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Polymarket5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42%2.3%2026-05-15 02:05
Kalshi5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42%2.3%2026-05-15 02:05
Novig5.99I 16.69%NM 16.22%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.78%2.9%2026-05-15 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%3.6%2026-05-15 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%5.8%2026-05-15 02:05
ProphetX5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%6.8%2026-05-15 02:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 47.01%1.18I 84.75%NM 52.99%59.9%2026-05-15 02:05