A Escola das Odds

Portland Fire v New York Liberty

Início: 2026-05-15 02:09 UTC

Final: Portland Fire 82–100 New York Liberty

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Portland Fire (Local)

Previsão 17.41%5.75odd justa
EV +2.69%
Vantagem +0.457%
Kelly +0.550%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.19%17.45%17.35%19.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.805.475.505.9020.83%18.27%18.18%16.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Liberty (Visitante)

Previsão 82.59%1.21odd justa
EV -1.71%
Vantagem -1.44%
Kelly -9.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.19

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
80.13%82.55%82.65%83.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.081.151.151.1992.59%87.09%86.96%84.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +2.69%E +0.457%K +0.550%G +0.015%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 02:03
Unibet (NL)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
LeoVegas5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
Unibet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
BetRivers5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
LeoVegas (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
Unibet (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
TABtouch5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
Bally Bet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
Svenska Spel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
betPARX5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
ATG (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.954%E +0.164%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 02:05
BetMGM5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +0.084%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 02:05
BetUS5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV -0.787%E -0.138%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -4.19%E -3.61%K -26.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-15 02:04
Bet Victor5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV -2.53%E -0.451%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -2.54%E -2.15%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-15 01:56
Fanatics5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.53%E -0.451%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 02:04
LowVig.ag5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -2.88%E -0.515%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.19%E -3.61%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 02:05
BetOnline.ag5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV -2.88%E -0.515%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.19%E -3.61%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 02:05
DraftKings5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -3.40%E -0.612%K -0.747%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.19%E -3.61%K -26.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 02:04
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 01:59
Bet Right5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 02:05
BetAnything5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 01:59
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 02:05
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 01:59
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 02:05
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 01:59
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.27%E -0.776%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 01:59
GTbets5.48I 18.25%NM 17.22%EV -4.62%E -0.842%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.78%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 02:05
Pinnacle5.47I 18.28%NM 17.62%EV -4.79%E -0.876%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.38%EV -3.36%E -2.88%K -19.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-15 02:01
FanDuel5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.01%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 02:05
MyBookie.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.01%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 02:04
ReBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.01%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 01:58
Coolbet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.75%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 01:58
Bovada5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.36%E -2.88%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 02:04
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.19%E -3.61%K -26.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 02:05
NordicBet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 01:59
Betsson5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 01:59
Hard Rock Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 02:05
Fliff5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -8.62%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -7.49%E -6.69%K -62.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 02:05
TAB5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -9.49%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.02%E -4.36%K -33.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 02:02
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.97%E -2.59%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.36%E -2.88%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 02:05
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.97%E -2.59%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 02:05
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.97%E -2.59%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.84%E -5.13%K -41.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 01:59
PMU (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.76%EV -12.97%E -2.59%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 82.24%EV -10.80%E -10.00%K -134.98%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-15 02:05
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -16.45%E -3.43%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -1.71%E -1.44%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 02:05
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -16.45%E -3.43%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -1.71%E -1.44%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 02:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42%2.3%2026-05-15 02:05
Kalshi5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42%2.3%2026-05-15 02:05
Novig5.99I 16.69%NM 16.22%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.78%2.9%2026-05-15 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%3.6%2026-05-15 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%5.8%2026-05-15 02:05
ProphetX5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%6.8%2026-05-15 02:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 47.01%1.18I 84.75%NM 52.99%59.9%2026-05-15 02:05