Language:English
Portland Fire v Connecticut Sun
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Portland Fire (Local)
Prediction 60.43%1.65fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -2.07%
Kelly -5.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.90%60.50%60.35%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.561.571.6069.93%63.95%63.69%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Connecticut Sun (Visit)
Prediction 39.57%2.53fair odd
EV +0.901%
Edge +0.353%
Kelly +0.581%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%39.50%39.65%41.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.442.402.5544.44%41.07%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Fire (Local): 60.43%; Connecticut Sun (Visit): 39.57%. For Connecticut Sun (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.901%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.08%E -0.431%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-19 01:48 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.08%E -0.431%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.08%E -0.431%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-19 00:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.08%E -0.431%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.47%E -0.592%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.47%E -0.592%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -1.87%E -0.753%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.06%E -1.25%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.06%E -1.25%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.06%E -1.25%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-18 02:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -3.45%E -1.41%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.24%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.52%E -2.86%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 02:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.52%E -2.86%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 02:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.33%E -4.09%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 01:38 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-18 20:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.52%E -2.86%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-18 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-18 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-18 12:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.73%E -3.67%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -6.62%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.01%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.73%E -3.67%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.01%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.73%E -3.67%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.01%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 12:13 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.17%EV -13.58%E -9.50%K -31.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.83%EV -7.01%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -4.52%E -2.86%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -7.41%E -3.17%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 05:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.97%E -4.88%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-05-19 00:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 1.4% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.21% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.79% | 1.7% | 2026-05-19 01:49 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-05-18 21:40 |