A Escola das Odds

Portland Fire v Connecticut Sun

Início: 2026-05-19 02:00 UTC

Final: Portland Fire 83–82 Connecticut Sun

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Portland Fire (Local)

Previsão 60.43%1.65odd justa
EV -3.31%
Vantagem -2.07%
Kelly -5.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.90%60.50%60.35%62.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.431.561.571.6069.93%63.95%63.69%62.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Connecticut Sun (Visitante)

Previsão 39.57%2.53odd justa
EV +0.901%
Vantagem +0.353%
Kelly +0.581%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.50%39.50%39.65%41.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.442.402.5544.44%41.07%41.67%39.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.08%E -0.431%K -0.718%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-19 01:48
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.08%E -0.431%K -0.718%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-19 01:50
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.08%E -0.431%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-19 00:50
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.08%E -0.431%K -0.718%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 01:50
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.47%E -0.592%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-19 01:50
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.47%E -0.592%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-19 01:50
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -1.87%E -0.753%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-19 01:50
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.06%E -1.25%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-19 01:50
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.06%E -1.25%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-19 01:40
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.06%E -1.25%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 02:45
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -3.45%E -1.41%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 01:50
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.24%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 01:40
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 01:40
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 12:15
Betway1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 12:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.52%E -2.86%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 02:40
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.52%E -2.86%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 02:39
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 01:50
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.33%E -4.09%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 01:38
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 20:05
MyBookie.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 12:15
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.52%E -2.86%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 23:10
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 12:40
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 12:40
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 12:40
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.73%E -3.67%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 01:50
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -6.62%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 01:50
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.01%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 01:50
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.73%E -3.67%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.01%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 12:15
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.73%E -3.67%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.01%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 12:13
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.17%EV -13.58%E -9.50%K -31.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.83%EV -7.01%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-19 01:50
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -4.52%E -2.86%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -7.41%E -3.17%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 01:40
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 05:45
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 01:40
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.97%E -4.88%K -8.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 01:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-19 01:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-19 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-19 01:50
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-19 00:30
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-05-19 01:50
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.21%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.79%1.7%2026-05-19 01:49
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-05-18 21:40