L’École des cotes

Portland Fire v Connecticut Sun

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-19 02:00 UTC

Score final : Portland Fire 83–82 Connecticut Sun

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Portland Fire (Local)

Prévision 60.43%1.65cote équitable
EV -3.31%
Avantage -2.07%
Kelly -5.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.90%60.50%60.35%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.561.571.6069.93%63.95%63.69%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Connecticut Sun (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.57%2.53cote équitable
EV +0.901%
Avantage +0.353%
Kelly +0.581%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.50%39.50%39.65%41.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.442.402.5544.44%41.07%41.67%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.08%E -0.431%K -0.718%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-19 01:48
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.08%E -0.431%K -0.718%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-19 01:50
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.08%E -0.431%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-19 00:50
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.08%E -0.431%K -0.718%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 01:50
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.47%E -0.592%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-19 01:50
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.47%E -0.592%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-19 01:50
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -1.87%E -0.753%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-19 01:50
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.06%E -1.25%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-19 01:50
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.06%E -1.25%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-19 01:40
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.06%E -1.25%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 02:45
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -3.45%E -1.41%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 01:50
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.24%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 01:40
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 01:40
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 12:15
Betway1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 12:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.52%E -2.86%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 02:40
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.52%E -2.86%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 02:39
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 01:50
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.33%E -4.09%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 01:38
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 20:05
MyBookie.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 12:15
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.52%E -2.86%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 23:10
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 12:40
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 12:40
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 12:40
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.73%E -3.67%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 01:50
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -6.62%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 01:50
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.01%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 01:50
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.73%E -3.67%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.01%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 12:15
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.73%E -3.67%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.01%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 12:13
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.17%EV -13.58%E -9.50%K -31.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.83%EV -7.01%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-19 01:50
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -4.52%E -2.86%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -7.41%E -3.17%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 01:40
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 05:45
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 01:40
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.97%E -4.88%K -8.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 01:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-19 01:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-19 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-19 01:50
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-19 00:30
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-05-19 01:50
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.21%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.79%1.7%2026-05-19 01:49
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-05-18 21:40