مدرسة الاحتمالات

Portland Fire v Connecticut Sun

البداية: 2026-05-19 02:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Portland Fire 83–82 Connecticut Sun

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Portland Fire (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.43%1.65السعر العادل
EV -3.31%
الأفضلية -2.07%
Kelly -5.52%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.90%60.50%60.35%62.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.431.561.571.6069.93%63.95%63.69%62.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Connecticut Sun (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.57%2.53السعر العادل
EV +0.901%
الأفضلية +0.353%
Kelly +0.581%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.50%39.50%39.65%41.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.442.402.5544.44%41.07%41.67%39.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-19 01:50
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.08%E -0.431%K -0.718%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-19 01:48
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.08%E -0.431%K -0.718%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-19 01:50
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.08%E -0.431%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-19 00:50
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.08%E -0.431%K -0.718%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 01:50
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.47%E -0.592%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-19 01:50
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.47%E -0.592%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-19 01:50
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -1.87%E -0.753%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-19 01:50
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.06%E -1.25%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-19 01:50
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.06%E -1.25%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-19 01:40
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.06%E -1.25%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 02:45
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -3.45%E -1.41%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 01:50
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.24%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 01:40
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 01:40
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 12:15
Betway1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 12:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.52%E -2.86%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 02:40
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.52%E -2.86%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 02:39
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 01:50
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.33%E -4.09%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 01:38
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 20:05
MyBookie.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 12:15
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.52%E -2.86%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 23:10
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 12:40
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 12:40
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 12:40
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.73%E -3.67%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 01:50
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -6.62%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 01:50
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.01%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 01:50
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.73%E -3.67%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.01%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 12:15
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.73%E -3.67%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.01%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 12:13
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.17%EV -13.58%E -9.50%K -31.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.83%EV -7.01%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-19 01:50
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -4.52%E -2.86%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -7.41%E -3.17%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 01:40
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 05:45
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 01:40
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.97%E -4.88%K -8.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 01:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-19 01:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-19 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-19 01:50
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-19 00:30
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-05-19 01:50
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.21%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.79%1.7%2026-05-19 01:49
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-05-18 21:40