La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Portland Fire v Connecticut Sun
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Portland Fire (Local)
Predicción 60.43%1.65momio equitativo
EV -3.31%
Ventaja -2.07%
Kelly -5.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.90%60.50%60.35%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.561.571.6069.93%63.95%63.69%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Connecticut Sun (Visitante)
Predicción 39.57%2.53momio equitativo
EV +0.901%
Ventaja +0.353%
Kelly +0.581%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.50%39.50%39.65%41.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.442.402.5544.44%41.07%41.67%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.901%E +0.353%K +0.581%G +0.005% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.08%E -0.431%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-19 01:48 |
| BetAnything | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.08%E -0.431%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.08%E -0.431%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-19 00:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.08%E -0.431%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.47%E -0.592%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.47%E -0.592%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| BetUS | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -1.87%E -0.753%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| GTbets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.06%E -1.25%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| Bovada | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.06%E -1.25%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.06%E -1.25%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-18 02:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -3.45%E -1.41%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.24%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| Betway | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.52%E -2.86%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 02:40 |
| Neds | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.52%E -2.86%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 02:39 |
| Bet Right | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.33%E -4.09%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 01:38 |
| ReBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-18 20:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.52%E -2.86%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 23:10 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-18 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-18 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-18 12:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.73%E -3.67%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.83%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -6.62%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.01%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.73%E -3.67%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.01%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| Betsson | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.73%E -3.67%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.01%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 12:13 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.17%EV -13.58%E -9.50%K -31.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.83%EV -7.01%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -4.52%E -2.86%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -7.41%E -3.17%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 05:45 |
| Fliff | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.97%E -4.88%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 01:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| Polymarket | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-05-19 00:30 |
| ProphetX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 1.4% | 2026-05-19 01:50 |
| Novig | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.21% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.79% | 1.7% | 2026-05-19 01:49 |
| Kalshi | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-05-18 21:40 |