Школа коэффициентов

Phoenix Mercury v Connecticut Sun

Начало: 2026-07-19 23:04 UTC

Итог: Phoenix Mercury 72–63 Connecticut Sun

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

47 букмекерских контор (15 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Phoenix Mercury (Хозяева)

Прогноз 60.96%1.64справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.24%
Преимущество -0.768%
Kelly -2.01%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.62

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
59.70%61.10%60.95%62.81%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.451.551.541.6268.97%64.47%64.94%61.73%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Connecticut Sun (Гости)

Прогноз 39.04%2.56справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.333%
Преимущество +0.130%
Kelly +0.212%
Рост +0.001%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.57

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
37.19%38.90%39.05%40.30%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.302.472.472.5743.48%40.42%40.49%38.91%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV +0.333%E +0.130%K +0.212%G +0.001%4.3%2026-07-19 22:45
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:15
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:15
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:15
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:19
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:20
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:15
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:15
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.95%E -5.27%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:15
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.95%E -5.27%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:20
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -2.01%E -0.801%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 22:55
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.46%E -1.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-19 22:49
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.46%E -1.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-19 22:55
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-19 22:25
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 22:54
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 20:05
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 20:05
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 20:05
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 22:40
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -6.12%E -3.98%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 22:50
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -3.18%E -1.28%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-19 22:50
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -3.18%E -1.28%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-19 22:50
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -3.68%E -2.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -3.57%E -1.45%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 23:00
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 23:00
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 22:35
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.68%E -2.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 23:00
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 22:30
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 22:30
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 22:10
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.51%E -3.56%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 22:50
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.51%E -3.56%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 22:50
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 23:00
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.95%E -5.27%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 22:55
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.13%E -2.11%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-19 22:30
Coolbet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.12%E -3.98%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.13%E -2.11%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-19 22:50
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.63%EV -11.61%E -8.01%K -25.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -5.13%E -2.11%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-19 19:15
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.24%E -0.768%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -5.52%E -2.28%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-19 22:50
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.24%E -0.768%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -5.52%E -2.28%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-19 22:50
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.24%E -0.768%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -6.30%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-19 22:55
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.68%E -2.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.30%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.68%E -2.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.30%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 22:10
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.30%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 23:00
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.30%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 23:00
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.08%E -2.98%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-19 22:20
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-19 22:40
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (8)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-07-19 23:00
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-07-19 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-19 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-19 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-19 23:00
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-07-19 23:00
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-07-19 22:50
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-07-19 23:00