La escuela de los momiosPhoenix Mercury v Connecticut Sun
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Phoenix Mercury (Local)
Predicción 60.96%1.64momio equitativo
EV -1.24%
Ventaja -0.768%
Kelly -2.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.70%61.10%60.95%62.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.551.541.6268.97%64.47%64.94%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Connecticut Sun (Visitante)
Predicción 39.04%2.56momio equitativo
EV +0.333%
Ventaja +0.130%
Kelly +0.212%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.19%38.90%39.05%40.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.472.472.5743.48%40.42%40.49%38.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV +0.333%E +0.130%K +0.212%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-07-19 22:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-19 19:15 |
| Unibet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-19 19:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-19 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-19 19:15 |
| Bally Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-19 19:19 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-19 19:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-19 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-19 19:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.95%E -5.27%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 19:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.95%E -5.27%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 19:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -2.01%E -0.801%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 22:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.46%E -1.54%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-19 22:49 |
| betano_uk | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.46%E -1.54%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-19 22:55 |
| BetAnything | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-19 22:25 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-19 22:54 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 20:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 20:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 20:05 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-19 22:40 |
| ReBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -6.12%E -3.98%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 22:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -3.18%E -1.28%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-19 22:50 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -3.18%E -1.28%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-19 22:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -3.68%E -2.33%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -3.57%E -1.45%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-19 23:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-19 23:00 |
| GTbets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-19 22:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-19 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.68%E -2.33%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-19 23:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-19 22:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-19 22:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-19 22:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.51%E -3.56%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-19 22:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.51%E -3.56%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-19 22:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-19 23:00 |
| Fliff | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.95%E -5.27%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-19 22:55 |
| Caesars | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.13%E -2.11%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-19 22:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.12%E -3.98%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.13%E -2.11%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-19 22:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.63%EV -11.61%E -8.01%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -5.13%E -2.11%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-19 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.24%E -0.768%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -5.52%E -2.28%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-19 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.24%E -0.768%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -5.52%E -2.28%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-19 22:50 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.24%E -0.768%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -6.30%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-19 22:55 |
| Neds | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.68%E -2.33%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.30%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.68%E -2.33%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.30%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 22:10 |
| Betway | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.30%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-19 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.30%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-19 23:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.08%E -2.98%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-19 22:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-19 22:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-07-19 23:00 |
| Novig | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-19 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-07-19 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-07-19 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-07-19 23:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-07-19 23:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-07-19 22:50 |
| ProphetX | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-07-19 23:00 |