L’École des cotes

Phoenix Mercury v Connecticut Sun

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-19 23:04 UTC

Score final : Phoenix Mercury 72–63 Connecticut Sun

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Phoenix Mercury (Local)

Prévision 60.96%1.64cote équitable
EV -1.24%
Avantage -0.768%
Kelly -2.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.70%61.10%60.95%62.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.551.541.6268.97%64.47%64.94%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Connecticut Sun (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.04%2.56cote équitable
EV +0.333%
Avantage +0.130%
Kelly +0.212%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.19%38.90%39.05%40.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.472.472.5743.48%40.42%40.49%38.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV +0.333%E +0.130%K +0.212%G +0.001%4.3%2026-07-19 22:45
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:15
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:15
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:15
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:19
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:20
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:15
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:15
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.95%E -5.27%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:15
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.95%E -5.27%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:20
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -2.01%E -0.801%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 22:55
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.46%E -1.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-19 22:49
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.46%E -1.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-19 22:55
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-19 22:25
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 22:54
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 20:05
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 20:05
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 20:05
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 22:40
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -6.12%E -3.98%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 22:50
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -3.18%E -1.28%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-19 22:50
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -3.18%E -1.28%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-19 22:50
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -3.68%E -2.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -3.57%E -1.45%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 23:00
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 23:00
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 22:35
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.68%E -2.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 23:00
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 22:30
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 22:30
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 22:10
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.51%E -3.56%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 22:50
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.51%E -3.56%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 22:50
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 23:00
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.95%E -5.27%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 22:55
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.13%E -2.11%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-19 22:30
Coolbet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.12%E -3.98%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.13%E -2.11%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-19 22:50
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.63%EV -11.61%E -8.01%K -25.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -5.13%E -2.11%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-19 19:15
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.24%E -0.768%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -5.52%E -2.28%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-19 22:50
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.24%E -0.768%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -5.52%E -2.28%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-19 22:50
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.24%E -0.768%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -6.30%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-19 22:55
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.68%E -2.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.30%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.68%E -2.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.30%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 22:10
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.30%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 23:00
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.30%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 23:00
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.08%E -2.98%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-19 22:20
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-19 22:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-07-19 23:00
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-07-19 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-19 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-19 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-19 23:00
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-07-19 23:00
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-07-19 22:50
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-07-19 23:00