مدرسة الاحتمالات

Phoenix Mercury v Connecticut Sun

البداية: 2026-07-19 23:04 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Phoenix Mercury 72–63 Connecticut Sun

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Phoenix Mercury (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.96%1.64السعر العادل
EV -1.24%
الأفضلية -0.768%
Kelly -2.01%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.62

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
59.70%61.10%60.95%62.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.451.551.541.6268.97%64.47%64.94%61.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Connecticut Sun (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.04%2.56السعر العادل
EV +0.333%
الأفضلية +0.130%
Kelly +0.212%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.19%38.90%39.05%40.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.472.472.5743.48%40.42%40.49%38.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV +0.333%E +0.130%K +0.212%G +0.001%4.3%2026-07-19 22:45
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:15
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:15
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:15
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:19
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:20
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:15
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:15
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.95%E -5.27%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:15
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.95%E -5.27%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:20
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -2.01%E -0.801%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 22:55
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.46%E -1.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-19 22:49
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.46%E -1.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-19 22:55
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-19 22:25
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 22:54
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 20:05
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 20:05
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 20:05
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 22:40
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -6.12%E -3.98%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 22:50
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -3.18%E -1.28%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-19 22:50
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -3.18%E -1.28%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-19 22:50
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -3.68%E -2.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -3.57%E -1.45%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 23:00
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 23:00
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 22:35
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.68%E -2.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 23:00
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 22:30
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 22:30
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 22:10
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.51%E -3.56%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 22:50
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.51%E -3.56%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 22:50
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 23:00
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.95%E -5.27%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 22:55
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.13%E -2.11%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-19 22:30
Coolbet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.12%E -3.98%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.13%E -2.11%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-19 22:50
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.63%EV -11.61%E -8.01%K -25.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -5.13%E -2.11%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-19 19:15
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.24%E -0.768%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -5.52%E -2.28%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-19 22:50
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.24%E -0.768%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -5.52%E -2.28%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-19 22:50
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.24%E -0.768%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -6.30%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-19 22:55
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.68%E -2.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.30%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.68%E -2.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.30%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 22:10
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.30%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 23:00
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.30%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 23:00
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.08%E -2.98%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-19 22:20
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-19 22:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (8)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-07-19 23:00
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-07-19 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-19 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-19 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-19 23:00
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-07-19 23:00
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-07-19 22:50
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-07-19 23:00