La scuola delle quote

Phoenix Mercury v Connecticut Sun

Inizio: 2026-07-19 23:04 UTC

Finale: Phoenix Mercury 72–63 Connecticut Sun

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Phoenix Mercury (Casa)

Previsione 60.96%1.64quota equa
EV -1.24%
Vantaggio -0.768%
Kelly -2.01%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.70%61.10%60.95%62.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.451.551.541.6268.97%64.47%64.94%61.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Connecticut Sun (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.04%2.56quota equa
EV +0.333%
Vantaggio +0.130%
Kelly +0.212%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.19%38.90%39.05%40.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.472.472.5743.48%40.42%40.49%38.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV +0.333%E +0.130%K +0.212%G +0.001%4.3%2026-07-19 22:45
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:15
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:15
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:15
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:19
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:20
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:15
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:15
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.95%E -5.27%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:15
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.95%E -5.27%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.448%E -0.176%K -0.289%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:20
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -2.01%E -0.801%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 22:55
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.46%E -1.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-19 22:49
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.46%E -1.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-19 22:55
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-19 22:25
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 22:54
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 20:05
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 20:05
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 20:05
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.40%E -0.960%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 22:40
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -6.12%E -3.98%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 22:50
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -3.18%E -1.28%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-19 22:50
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -3.18%E -1.28%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-19 22:50
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -3.68%E -2.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -3.57%E -1.45%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 23:00
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 23:00
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 22:35
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.68%E -2.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 23:00
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 22:30
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 22:30
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 22:10
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.51%E -3.56%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 22:50
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.51%E -3.56%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 22:50
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 23:00
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.95%E -5.27%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 22:55
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.13%E -2.11%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-19 22:30
Coolbet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.12%E -3.98%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.13%E -2.11%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-19 22:50
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.63%EV -11.61%E -8.01%K -25.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -5.13%E -2.11%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-19 19:15
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.24%E -0.768%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -5.52%E -2.28%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-19 22:50
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.24%E -0.768%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -5.52%E -2.28%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-19 22:50
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.24%E -0.768%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -6.30%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-19 22:55
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.68%E -2.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.30%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.68%E -2.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.30%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 22:10
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.30%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 23:00
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.30%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 23:00
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.08%E -2.98%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-19 22:20
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.21%E -4.44%K -7.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-19 22:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-07-19 23:00
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-07-19 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-19 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-19 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-19 23:00
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-07-19 23:00
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-07-19 22:50
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-07-19 23:00