The School of OddsPhoenix Mercury v Connecticut Sun
Head to Head
Phoenix Mercury (Local)
Prediction 65.35%1.53fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -5.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.91%65.34%65.42%66.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.381.451.441.4972%69%69%67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Connecticut Sun (Visit)
Prediction 34.65%2.89fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.81%34.66%34.58%36.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.552.742.752.8039%36%36%36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.63%E -1.76%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.45%E -2.39%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-15 20:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -2.63%E -1.76%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -7.14%E -2.66%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-15 21:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.28%E -2.22%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.98%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-15 22:15 |
| Caesars | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.28%E -2.22%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.71%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-15 22:20 |
| GTbets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.28%E -2.22%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.71%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-15 22:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -3.94%E -2.68%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -5.75%E -2.11%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.94%E -2.68%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.45%E -2.39%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.59%E -3.14%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.98%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-15 22:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.59%E -3.14%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.75%E -2.11%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.24%E -3.62%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.71%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-15 22:15 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.24%E -3.62%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.71%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-16 02:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.24%E -3.62%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.45%E -2.39%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-16 00:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.89%EV -5.24%E -3.62%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.11%EV -7.14%E -2.66%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.90%E -4.09%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.71%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.90%E -4.09%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.71%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.90%E -4.09%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.71%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.90%E -4.09%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.71%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-16 02:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.90%E -4.09%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.71%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-16 02:00 |
| Betsson | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.90%E -4.09%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.45%E -2.39%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-15 22:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.90%E -4.09%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.45%E -2.39%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-15 22:15 |
| Fliff | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.90%E -4.09%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.45%E -2.39%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-15 22:25 |
| ReBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.05%EV -5.90%E -4.09%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.95%EV -7.14%E -2.66%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.90%E -4.09%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.22%E -3.52%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-16 00:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -5.90%E -4.09%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -11.64%E -4.57%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-15 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.55%E -4.58%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.98%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-15 23:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.55%E -4.58%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.98%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-15 23:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.55%E -4.58%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.98%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-15 23:55 |
| Unibet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.55%E -4.58%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.98%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-15 23:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.55%E -4.58%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.98%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-15 23:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.55%E -4.58%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.98%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-15 23:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.55%E -4.58%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.98%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-15 23:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.55%E -4.58%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.98%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-15 23:55 |
| betPARX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.55%E -4.58%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.98%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-15 23:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.55%E -4.58%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.98%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-15 23:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -9.82%E -7.11%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -6.45%E -2.39%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-15 23:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37% | 2.0% | 2026-07-16 02:20 |
| Kalshi | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59% | 4.0% | 2026-07-16 02:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-07-15 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-07-15 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-07-15 21:15 |