مدرسة الاحتمالات

Phoenix Mercury v Connecticut Sun

البداية: 2026-07-18 02:06 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Phoenix Mercury 83–96 Connecticut Sun

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Phoenix Mercury (المضيف)

التنبؤ 61.53%1.63السعر العادل
EV -0.944%
الأفضلية -0.586%
Kelly -1.55%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
59.29%61.41%61.62%62.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.561.561.6166.67%64.02%64.10%62.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Connecticut Sun (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.47%2.60السعر العادل
EV +0.033%
الأفضلية +0.013%
Kelly +0.021%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.20%38.59%38.38%40.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.232.442.452.6044.84%41.00%40.82%38.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
betano_uk1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.64%E -2.99%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV +0.033%E +0.013%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 01:59
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.64%E -2.99%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV +0.033%E +0.013%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 01:59
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +0.033%E +0.013%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-18 01:56
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.89%E -0.741%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-18 02:00
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.48%E -4.26%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.89%E -0.741%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 02:00
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -4.64%E -2.99%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -2.28%E -0.896%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 01:59
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.28%E -0.896%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 02:00
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.66%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-18 02:00
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.66%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-18 02:00
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.02%E -2.58%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-18 01:57
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -3.43%E -1.37%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-18 01:59
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.81%E -1.53%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-18 01:59
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.02%E -2.58%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.81%E -1.53%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 02:00
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.02%E -2.58%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.81%E -1.53%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 01:59
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.81%E -1.53%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 02:00
Hard Rock Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.10%E -4.70%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.81%E -1.53%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 02:00
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.71%E -5.14%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.81%E -1.53%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 02:00
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.02%E -2.58%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 02:00
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.87%E -3.83%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 01:59
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -2.79%E -1.77%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 01:59
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 02:00
MyBookie.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.58%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 01:59
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.64%E -2.99%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 01:59
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.87%E -3.83%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 02:00
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.87%E -3.83%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 02:00
TAB1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.87%E -3.83%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 01:59
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.51%E -2.68%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 01:59
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.43%E -3.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 01:59
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.43%E -3.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 01:59
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.43%E -3.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 01:59
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -8.43%E -3.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 01:59
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -8.43%E -3.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 01:59
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.87%E -3.83%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.43%E -3.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 01:59
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -0.944%E -0.586%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 01:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -0.944%E -0.586%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 02:00
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -0.944%E -0.586%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 02:00
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -0.944%E -0.586%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 02:00
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -0.944%E -0.586%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 02:00
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -0.944%E -0.586%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 02:00
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -0.944%E -0.586%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 02:00
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -0.944%E -0.586%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 01:59
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.02%E -2.58%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 02:00
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -1.56%E -0.974%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -10.35%E -4.44%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 01:59
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -1.56%E -0.974%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -10.35%E -4.44%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 02:00
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.64%E -2.99%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.51%E -5.00%K -8.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 02:00
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -5.87%E -3.83%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.69%EV -14.20%E -6.37%K -11.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-18 02:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (8)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-07-18 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-07-18 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-07-18 02:00
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-07-18 02:00
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-07-18 02:00
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-18 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-07-18 02:00
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-07-18 02:00