La scuola delle quote

Phoenix Mercury v Connecticut Sun

Inizio: 2026-07-18 02:06 UTC

Finale: Phoenix Mercury 83–96 Connecticut Sun

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Phoenix Mercury (Casa)

Previsione 61.53%1.63quota equa
EV -0.944%
Vantaggio -0.586%
Kelly -1.55%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.29%61.41%61.62%62.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.561.561.6166.67%64.02%64.10%62.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Connecticut Sun (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.47%2.60quota equa
EV +0.033%
Vantaggio +0.013%
Kelly +0.021%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.20%38.59%38.38%40.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.232.442.452.6044.84%41.00%40.82%38.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
betano_uk1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.64%E -2.99%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV +0.033%E +0.013%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 01:59
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.64%E -2.99%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV +0.033%E +0.013%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 01:59
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +0.033%E +0.013%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-18 01:56
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.89%E -0.741%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-18 02:00
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.48%E -4.26%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.89%E -0.741%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 02:00
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -4.64%E -2.99%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -2.28%E -0.896%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 01:59
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.28%E -0.896%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 02:00
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.66%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-18 02:00
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.66%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-18 02:00
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.02%E -2.58%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-18 01:57
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -3.43%E -1.37%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-18 01:59
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.81%E -1.53%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-18 01:59
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.02%E -2.58%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.81%E -1.53%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 02:00
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.02%E -2.58%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.81%E -1.53%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 01:59
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.81%E -1.53%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 02:00
Hard Rock Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.10%E -4.70%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.81%E -1.53%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 02:00
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.71%E -5.14%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.81%E -1.53%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 02:00
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.02%E -2.58%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 02:00
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.87%E -3.83%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 01:59
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -2.79%E -1.77%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 01:59
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 02:00
MyBookie.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.58%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 01:59
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.64%E -2.99%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 01:59
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.87%E -3.83%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 02:00
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.87%E -3.83%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 02:00
TAB1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.87%E -3.83%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 01:59
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.51%E -2.68%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 01:59
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.43%E -3.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 01:59
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.43%E -3.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 01:59
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.43%E -3.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 01:59
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -8.43%E -3.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 01:59
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -8.43%E -3.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 01:59
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.87%E -3.83%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.43%E -3.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 01:59
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -0.944%E -0.586%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 01:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -0.944%E -0.586%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 02:00
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -0.944%E -0.586%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 02:00
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -0.944%E -0.586%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 02:00
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -0.944%E -0.586%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 02:00
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -0.944%E -0.586%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 02:00
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -0.944%E -0.586%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 02:00
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -0.944%E -0.586%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 01:59
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.02%E -2.58%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 02:00
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -1.56%E -0.974%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -10.35%E -4.44%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 01:59
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -1.56%E -0.974%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -10.35%E -4.44%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 02:00
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.64%E -2.99%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.51%E -5.00%K -8.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 02:00
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -5.87%E -3.83%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.69%EV -14.20%E -6.37%K -11.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-18 02:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-07-18 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-07-18 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-07-18 02:00
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-07-18 02:00
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-07-18 02:00
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-18 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-07-18 02:00
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-07-18 02:00