Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Phoenix Mercury v Connecticut Sun

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-18 02:06 UTC

Score final : Phoenix Mercury 83–96 Connecticut Sun

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Phoenix Mercury (Local)

Prévision 61.53%1.63cote équitable
EV -0.944%
Avantage -0.586%
Kelly -1.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.29%61.41%61.62%62.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.561.561.6166.67%64.02%64.10%62.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Connecticut Sun (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.47%2.60cote équitable
EV +0.033%
Avantage +0.013%
Kelly +0.021%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.20%38.59%38.38%40.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.232.442.452.6044.84%41.00%40.82%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Phoenix Mercury (Local) : 61.53% ; Connecticut Sun (Visiteur) : 38.47%. Pour Connecticut Sun (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.599. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.600, soit une espérance positive de +0.033%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.64%E -2.99%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV +0.033%E +0.013%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 01:59
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.64%E -2.99%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV +0.033%E +0.013%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 01:59
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +0.033%E +0.013%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-18 01:56
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.89%E -0.741%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-18 02:00
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.48%E -4.26%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.89%E -0.741%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 02:00
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -4.64%E -2.99%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -2.28%E -0.896%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 01:59
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.28%E -0.896%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 02:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.66%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-18 02:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.66%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-18 02:00
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.02%E -2.58%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-18 01:57
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -3.43%E -1.37%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-18 01:59
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.81%E -1.53%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-18 01:59
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.02%E -2.58%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.81%E -1.53%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 02:00
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.02%E -2.58%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.81%E -1.53%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 01:59
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.81%E -1.53%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 02:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.10%E -4.70%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.81%E -1.53%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 02:00
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.71%E -5.14%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.81%E -1.53%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 02:00
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.02%E -2.58%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 02:00
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.87%E -3.83%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 01:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -2.79%E -1.77%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 01:59
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 02:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.02%E -2.58%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 01:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.64%E -2.99%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 01:59
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.87%E -3.83%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 02:00
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.87%E -3.83%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 02:00
TAB🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.87%E -3.83%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.74%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 01:59
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.51%E -2.68%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 01:59
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.43%E -3.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 01:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.43%E -3.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 01:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.40%E -2.17%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.43%E -3.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 01:59
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -8.43%E -3.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 01:59
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -8.43%E -3.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 01:59
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.87%E -3.83%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.43%E -3.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 01:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -0.944%E -0.586%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 01:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -0.944%E -0.586%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 02:00
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -0.944%E -0.586%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 02:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -0.944%E -0.586%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 02:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -0.944%E -0.586%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 02:00
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -0.944%E -0.586%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 02:00
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -0.944%E -0.586%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 02:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -0.944%E -0.586%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 01:59
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.02%E -2.58%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 02:00
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -1.56%E -0.974%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -10.35%E -4.44%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 01:59
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -1.56%E -0.974%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -10.35%E -4.44%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 02:00
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.64%E -2.99%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.51%E -5.00%K -8.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 02:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -5.87%E -3.83%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.69%EV -14.20%E -6.37%K -11.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-18 02:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-07-18 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-07-18 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-07-18 02:00
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-07-18 02:00
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-07-18 02:00
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-18 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-07-18 02:00
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-07-18 02:00