The School of Odds

New York Liberty v Chicago Sky

2026-07-22 23:00 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

New York Liberty (Local)

Prediction 80.94%1.24fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -2.40%
Kelly -14.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.27%80.83%80.91%81.47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.151.181.181.2087%85%85%83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Chicago Sky (Visit)

Prediction 19.06%5.25fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.354%
Kelly -0.439%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.53%19.17%19.09%21.73%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.254.834.905.1524%21%20%19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.88%E -2.40%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.88%E -2.40%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 13:40
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.88%E -2.40%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 13:40
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.88%E -2.40%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 13:40
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.88%E -2.40%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 13:40
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.88%E -2.40%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 13:40
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.88%E -2.40%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 13:45
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.88%E -2.40%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 13:45
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.88%E -2.40%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 13:45
Bally Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.88%E -2.40%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 13:45
LowVig.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.49%E -3.81%K -24.97%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -1.82%E -0.354%K -0.439%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-20 19:05
BetOnline.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.49%E -3.81%K -24.97%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -1.82%E -0.354%K -0.439%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-20 19:05
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.49%E -3.81%K -24.97%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -2.78%E -0.544%K -0.677%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-20 14:34
GTbets1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.49%E -3.81%K -24.97%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -3.73%E -0.738%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 14:40
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.49%E -3.81%K -24.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.68%E -0.936%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 15:35
Hard Rock Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.49%E -3.81%K -24.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.68%E -0.936%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 23:05
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.49%E -3.81%K -24.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.68%E -0.936%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 22:20
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.49%E -3.81%K -24.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.68%E -0.936%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 14:40
MyBookie.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.49%E -3.81%K -24.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.68%E -0.936%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 23:04
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.49%E -3.81%K -24.97%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -5.64%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 14:35
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.49%E -3.81%K -24.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.59%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 13:45
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.49%E -3.81%K -24.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.59%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 14:35
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -4.49%E -3.81%K -24.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -18.98%E -4.47%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-20 22:20
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.68%E -0.936%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 14:15
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.68%E -0.936%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 15:10
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.68%E -0.936%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 14:15
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.68%E -0.936%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 14:15
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.68%E -0.936%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 14:35
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.68%E -0.936%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 19:04
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.68%E -0.936%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 23:00
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.59%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 13:45
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.59%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 22:20
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.59%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 22:20
Coolbet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.59%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 14:19
ReBet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -10.40%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-20 22:20
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.21%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-20 13:20
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.11%E -5.27%K -38.21%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -2.78%E -0.544%K -0.677%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 23:30
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.28%EV -6.92%E -6.02%K -46.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -16.12%E -3.66%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-20 13:45
1xBet1.10I 90.91%NM 87.50%EV -10.97%E -9.97%K -109.70%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV +46.79%E +6.08%K +6.98%G +3.27%3.9%2026-07-20 02:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-07-20 21:40
Polymarket1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%3.3%2026-07-20 23:40
Novig1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%6.2%2026-07-20 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-20 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-20 23:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-20 23:45