A Escola das Odds

New York Liberty v Chicago Sky

Início: 2026-07-22 23:03 UTC

Final: New York Liberty 95–94 Chicago Sky

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

New York Liberty (Local)

Previsão 73.48%1.36odd justa
EV -2.27%
Vantagem -1.71%
Kelly -6.89%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.11%73.46%73.47%74.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.251.301.301.3380.00%77.06%76.92%75.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chicago Sky (Visitante)

Previsão 26.52%3.77odd justa
EV +0.778%
Vantagem +0.205%
Kelly +0.278%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.15%26.54%26.53%28.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.563.553.8031.25%28.10%28.17%26.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.778%E +0.205%K +0.278%G +0.002%3.8%2026-07-22 22:44
Fliff1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.42%E -5.89%K -28.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -0.548%E -0.146%K -0.199%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 22:59
Bet Victor1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -3.01%E -2.28%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -1.87%E -0.507%K -0.694%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-22 22:50
betano_uk1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -3.01%E -2.28%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -1.87%E -0.507%K -0.694%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-22 22:48
BetUS1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -1.87%E -0.507%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 21:49
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.87%E -0.507%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-22 22:59
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -2.67%E -0.727%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 22:15
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.20%E -0.877%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 21:35
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.20%E -0.877%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 22:20
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.95%E -4.65%K -21.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -3.20%E -0.877%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-22 19:39
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 73.43%EV -3.74%E -2.86%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.57%EV -4.00%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 23:00
GTbets1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.74%E -2.86%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 22:49
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.74%E -2.86%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.74%E -2.86%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 23:00
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.74%E -2.86%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 22:48
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 22:54
Caesars1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 22:58
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 22:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 22:44
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 22:09
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 22:09
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 22:09
ReBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:54
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 19:39
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:14
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:14
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:14
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:14
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:14
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:14
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:14
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:14
Bally Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:14
MyBookie.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:14
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.74%E -2.86%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 22:54
BetAnything1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.74%E -2.86%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 14:44
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 21:39
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 23:00
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.95%E -4.65%K -21.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 19:33
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.95%E -4.65%K -21.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 19:34
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 17:59
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.27%E -1.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -11.16%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 22:55
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -3.74%E -2.86%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -11.16%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 22:54
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.83%EV -8.15%E -6.52%K -32.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -11.16%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 22:15
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -5.95%E -4.65%K -21.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -13.81%E -4.25%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 22:59
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -15.13%E -4.73%K -6.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 14:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-07-22 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-07-22 23:00
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-07-22 22:29
Polymarket1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-07-22 23:00
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-07-22 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-07-22 23:00
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-07-22 20:59
ProphetX1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.9%2026-07-22 22:59