La escuela de los momiosEspañol
New York Liberty v Chicago Sky
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
New York Liberty (Local)
Predicción 73.48%1.36momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -1.71%
Kelly -6.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.11%73.46%73.47%74.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.301.301.3380.00%77.06%76.92%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Chicago Sky (Visitante)
Predicción 26.52%3.77momio equitativo
EV +0.778%
Ventaja +0.205%
Kelly +0.278%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.15%26.54%26.53%28.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.563.553.8031.25%28.10%28.17%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.778%E +0.205%K +0.278%G +0.002% | 3.8% | 2026-07-22 22:44 |
| Fliff | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.42%E -5.89%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -0.548%E -0.146%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -3.01%E -2.28%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -1.87%E -0.507%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-22 22:50 |
| betano_uk | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -3.01%E -2.28%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -1.87%E -0.507%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-22 22:48 |
| BetUS | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -1.87%E -0.507%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-22 21:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.87%E -0.507%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -2.67%E -0.727%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-22 22:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.20%E -0.877%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 21:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.20%E -0.877%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-22 22:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.95%E -4.65%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -3.20%E -0.877%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-22 19:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.43%EV -3.74%E -2.86%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.57%EV -4.00%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-22 23:00 |
| GTbets | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.74%E -2.86%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-22 22:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.74%E -2.86%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.74%E -2.86%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-22 23:00 |
| Bovada | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.74%E -2.86%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-22 22:48 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 22:54 |
| Caesars | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 22:58 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 22:44 |
| 888sport | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| ReBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 19:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| betPARX | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| TABtouch | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| Bally Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.74%E -2.86%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-22 22:54 |
| BetAnything | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.74%E -2.86%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-22 14:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-22 21:39 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-22 23:00 |
| Betsson | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.95%E -4.65%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 19:33 |
| NordicBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.95%E -4.65%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 19:34 |
| TAB | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 17:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.27%E -1.71%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -11.16%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 22:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -3.74%E -2.86%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -11.16%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-22 22:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.83%EV -8.15%E -6.52%K -32.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -11.16%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-22 22:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -5.95%E -4.65%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -13.81%E -4.25%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -15.13%E -4.73%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-22 14:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-07-22 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-07-22 23:00 |
| Novig | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Polymarket | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-07-22 23:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-07-22 23:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-07-22 20:59 |
| ProphetX | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.9% | 2026-07-22 22:59 |