L’École des cotes

New York Liberty v Chicago Sky

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-22 23:03 UTC

Score final : New York Liberty 95–94 Chicago Sky

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Liberty (Local)

Prévision 73.48%1.36cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -1.71%
Kelly -6.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.11%73.46%73.47%74.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.301.301.3380.00%77.06%76.92%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago Sky (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.52%3.77cote équitable
EV +0.778%
Avantage +0.205%
Kelly +0.278%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.15%26.54%26.53%28.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.563.553.8031.25%28.10%28.17%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.778%E +0.205%K +0.278%G +0.002%3.8%2026-07-22 22:44
Fliff1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.42%E -5.89%K -28.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -0.548%E -0.146%K -0.199%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 22:59
Bet Victor1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -3.01%E -2.28%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -1.87%E -0.507%K -0.694%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-22 22:50
betano_uk1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -3.01%E -2.28%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -1.87%E -0.507%K -0.694%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-22 22:48
BetUS1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -1.87%E -0.507%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 21:49
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.87%E -0.507%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-22 22:59
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -2.67%E -0.727%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 22:15
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.20%E -0.877%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 21:35
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.20%E -0.877%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 22:20
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.95%E -4.65%K -21.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -3.20%E -0.877%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-22 19:39
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 73.43%EV -3.74%E -2.86%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.57%EV -4.00%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 23:00
GTbets1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.74%E -2.86%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 22:49
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.74%E -2.86%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.74%E -2.86%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 23:00
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.74%E -2.86%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 22:48
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 22:54
Caesars1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 22:58
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 22:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 22:44
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 22:09
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 22:09
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 22:09
ReBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:54
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 19:39
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:14
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:14
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:14
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:14
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:14
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:14
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:14
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:14
Bally Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:14
MyBookie.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:14
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.74%E -2.86%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 22:54
BetAnything1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.74%E -2.86%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 14:44
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 21:39
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.21%E -4.04%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 23:00
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.95%E -4.65%K -21.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 19:33
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.95%E -4.65%K -21.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 19:34
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 17:59
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.27%E -1.71%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -11.16%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 22:55
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -3.74%E -2.86%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -11.16%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 22:54
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.83%EV -8.15%E -6.52%K -32.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -11.16%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 22:15
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -5.95%E -4.65%K -21.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -13.81%E -4.25%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 22:59
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -4.48%E -3.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -15.13%E -4.73%K -6.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 14:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-07-22 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-07-22 23:00
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-07-22 22:29
Polymarket1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-07-22 23:00
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-07-22 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-07-22 23:00
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-07-22 20:59
ProphetX1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.9%2026-07-22 22:59