The School of Odds

Las Vegas Aces v Portland Fire

2026-07-29 02:00 UTC — WNBA

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Las Vegas Aces (Local)

Prediction 83.30%1.20fair odd
EV -4.20%
Edge -3.66%
Kelly -28.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.96%83.30%83.01%83.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.121.141.141.1589%88%88%87%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Portland Fire (Visit)

Prediction 16.70%5.99fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.250%
Kelly -0.301%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.07%16.70%16.99%17.04%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
5.505.705.755.9018%18%17%17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.20%E -3.66%K -28.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -3.14%E -0.542%K -0.655%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 06:34
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.01%EV -4.20%E -3.66%K -28.03%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 16.99%EV -6.15%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 04:29
Caesars1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.20%E -3.66%K -28.03%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -6.48%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 05:33
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.04%E -4.42%K -35.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.98%E -0.692%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-23 05:49
FanDuel1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.87%E -5.19%K -45.15%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -1.47%E -0.250%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-23 03:59
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.87%E -5.19%K -45.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -3.98%E -0.692%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-23 03:59
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.70%E -5.98%K -55.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.15%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 03:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.18I 84.75%NM 73.84%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.16%14.8%2026-07-23 06:54